NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31175176eb136487f4d49e168fd959b2c160d0c40a9f83ff619d6895166e0baf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Mavericks, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,066,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,132,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,066,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 355 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks | 14c | 535,021$74,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,902.88 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…c36ebacked Mavericks | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Mavericks | 14c | 90,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Mavericks | 15c | 83,333$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Mavericks | 14c | 68,977$9,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,656.78 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Mavericks | 16c | 53,000$8,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,509.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Mavericks | 14c | 47,735$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,449.91 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mavericks | 4c | 41,610$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.25 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Mavericks | 13c | 35,199$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.86 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 8c | 28,504$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.85 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Mavericks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Mavericks | 15c | 25,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 12c | 24,915$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907.98 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 8c | 20,106$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.31 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Mavericks | 13c | 18,583$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.82 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 12c | 15,590$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.44 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Mavericks | 15c | 11,163$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.41 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 15c | 10,602$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.24 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Mavericks | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Mavericks | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Mavericks | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…add7backed Mavericks | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 11c | 7,782$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.25 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 6c | 7,625$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.03 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Mavericks | 11c | 7,585$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.51 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mavericks | 13c | 7,537$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.02 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Mavericks | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Mavericks | 6c | 6,151$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.85 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mavericks | 16c | 5,937$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.69 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Mavericks | 16c | 5,766$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks | 0c | 5,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Mavericks | 16c | 5,313$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mavericks | 16c | 4,905$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.74 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 25c | 4,791$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.19 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 12c | 4,710$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Mavericks | 14c | 4,548$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…22b6backed Mavericks | 12c | 4,540$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.8 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Mavericks | 14c | 4,444$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.16 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Timberwolves | 73c | 4,152$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.44 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 7c | 4,000$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.39 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Mavericks | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mavericks | 13c | 3,852$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.76 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mavericks | 9c | 3,651$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.23 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Timberwolves | 76c | 3,626$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.17 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Mavericks | 13c | 3,438$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…dac1backed Mavericks | 39c | 3,000$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mavericks | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Mavericks | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4c…d479backed Mavericks | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Mavericks | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Mavericks | 6c | 2,630$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.26 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Mavericks | 3c | 2,534$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mavericks | 10c | 2,500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.75 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Mavericks | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Mavericks | 5c | 1,995$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 9c | 1,956$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Mavericks | 12c | 1,730$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,727$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.84 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Mavericks | 3c | 1,643$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Mavericks | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Mavericks | 5c | 1,570$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,554$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.7 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Mavericks | 7c | 1,536$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.54 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mavericks | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…52b4backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,300$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,286$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 699 | 29.8%208 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…be15backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,283$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Mavericks | 17c | 1,230$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…6f28backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,205$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Mavericks | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Mavericks | 6c | 1,187$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,186$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.76 | 524 | 32.6%171 W · 353 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Mavericks | 13c | 1,180$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.61 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…480bbacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,147$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,143$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…6304backed Mavericks | 15c | 1,128$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.81 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d93…4e27backed Mavericks | 16c | 1,125$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Mavericks | 14c | 1,043$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 13c | 1,030$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 1,013$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 247 | 52.6%130 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcc…a65ebacked Mavericks | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Mavericks | 15c | 973.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.42 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…7d64backed Mavericks | 15c | 850$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…54abbacked Mavericks | 15c | 806.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Mavericks | 15c | 781$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.15 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Mavericks | 16c | 749.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…9905backed Mavericks | 14c | 730$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Mavericks | 16c | 718.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.57 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Mavericks | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Mavericks | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…02c6backed Mavericks | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca6b…9c23backed Mavericks | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…4e1abacked Mavericks | 14c | 714$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Mavericks | 10c | 700$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c03…1c9fbacked Mavericks | 28c | 683$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.44 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mavericks | 3c | 674.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Mavericks | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Max Christie: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-15.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.