TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,617,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,787,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,617,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,055 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xac44…fbd7backed Yes47c8,547,738$4,007,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,540,624.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+75.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No54c2,015,107$1,085,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085,481.342951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No54c1,090,000$589,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589,099.9810443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No52c879,996$457,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457,597.931560%9 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No53c732,737$389,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389,507.667146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No52c699,769$360,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360,746.681,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No54c600,000$322,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,999.982744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes45c430,193$193,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236,606.11181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No53c396,549$210,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210,936.457346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No54c270,300$147,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,035.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed No55c209,217$116,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,029.973941%16 W · 23 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No51c205,365$104,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,736.142035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes45c176,585$80,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,585.324654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Yes47c159,574$75,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,574.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No55c125,970$69,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,283.54346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No54c120,000$64,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,25528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Yes45c120,000$54,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,999.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No54c117,600$63,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,5368647.7%41 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No53c106,000$55,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,7621952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5aa…1449backed No55c96,808$53,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,244.62540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes49c92,700$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,700.23056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed No53c80,000$42,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,7001957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No53c70,128$37,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,166.763151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No55c70,000$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,499.988258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No53c65,980$34,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,809.9859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes46c63,120$29,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,071.2329846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes49c60,000$29,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,6001070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked No53c56,000$29,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,680837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No53c55,650$29,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,441.275433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No52c53,435$27,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,932.555545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No54c49,867$26,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,928.163447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No54c47,119$25,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,225.263346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No55c43,600$23,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,8301060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked No51c41,657$21,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,245.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes45c41,399$18,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,769.268751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No53c40,000$21,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,1001050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed No54c40,000$21,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No53c37,776$20,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,096.8713843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No55c36,102$19,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,856.023237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,6006344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No53c28,621$15,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,1691838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No54c27,165$14,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,596.461741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes48c26,966$12,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,062.3310736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No52c22,834$11,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,873.683429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No44c22,820$10,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,064.286451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No55c21,842$11,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,912.23050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No55c21,408$11,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,775.341833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No53c21,100$11,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1834346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes58c21,047$12,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,935.6258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No52c21,000$10,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,909.948938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No53c21,000$11,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,059.8618160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No53c20,458$10,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,880.513141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8002759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No54c20,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,799.8514953%79 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No54c19,859$10,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,628.126541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes46c19,613$9,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,591.0229350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd606…9e01backed No55c18,797$10,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,273540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No53c18,740$9,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,867.7316144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No54c17,000$9,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,229.82955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed No53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,9501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes48c14,700$7,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6443138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No55c14,512$7,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,981.463737.8%14 W · 23 L-5.0wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No55c14,000$7,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,629.96643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No30c13,086$3,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,894.949348.4%45 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes45c12,974$5,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,155.9826645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No54c12,784$6,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,843.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No55c11,471$6,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,309.044641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No55c11,257$6,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,164.51450%7 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No55c10,960$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.967145.1%32 W · 39 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed No53c10,930$5,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7931637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No55c10,909$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c10,097$5,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,397.9838748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No54c10,047$5,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,375.833447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.985550.9%28 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No54c9,645$5,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,201.851323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-59.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No54c9,620$5,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,151.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes46c9,573$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,135.812344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No55c9,564$5,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,259.9610733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked No52c8,577$4,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,460837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No52c8,491$4,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.0910536.2%38 W · 67 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No53c8,401$4,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,441.925145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes45c7,500$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1251838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No54c7,500$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No50c7,414$3,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,675.9646048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No1c7,327$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No55c7,215$3,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.23128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-60.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No55c7,149$3,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,906.873743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No54c6,808$3,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,709.0329746.5%138 W · 159 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed No54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,239.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No53c5,915$3,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,124.452433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b33…d412backed Yes51c5,906$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.84366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes46c5,700$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,100.4213349.6%66 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes45c5,656$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.96251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No54c5,613$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.495446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4a…744abacked No53c5,475$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x765b…5edabacked No54c5,450$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,94320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No53c5,357$2,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.6815349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No54c5,134$2,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,752.055444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked No55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7502458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked No52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.