Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x710097985c1ec767d3280772c22d487111285931d54ab548d0c1d14f1cc3c71a

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Arsenal FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
Resolved: Feb 18, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $118,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $116,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,150 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Arsenal FC	28c	56,978$16,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,144.51	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	48,036$34,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,509.25	192	53.1%102 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Arsenal FC	29c	27,576$7,908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,907.92	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	18,229$12,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,286.29	205	45.4%93 W · 112 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	11,500$8,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,220	134	44.8%60 W · 74 L	-6.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	7,500$5,325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,174.99	138	52.2%72 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Arsenal FC	28c	5,625$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,574.91	1,283	48%616 W · 667 L	-5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	5,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	54cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	4,000$2,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,159.99	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	+11.0wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Arsenal FC	28c	3,016$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.35	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	2,302$1,639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$662.5	524	54.2%284 W · 240 L	+14.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	2,083$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$583.33	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arsenal FC	37c	1,963$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.4	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Arsenal FC	29c	1,248$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.89	97	32%31 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Arsenal FC	29c	1,034$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Arsenal FC	29c	1,018$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.96	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecec…b65dbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	517.12$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.79	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	73c	509$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.08	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	500$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Arsenal FC	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Arsenal FC	29c	350$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	518	47.3%245 W · 273 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Arsenal FC	28c	347.54$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.91	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f9a…7ef9backed Arsenal FC	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Arsenal FC	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	170	48.8%83 W · 87 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2623…e65abacked Arsenal FC	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Arsenal FC	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arsenal FC	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	181	23.2%42 W · 139 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Arsenal FC	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	246	30.5%75 W · 171 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Arsenal FC	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	300$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	63c	226.91$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.22	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Arsenal FC	49c	205.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-5.3wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	200$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58	301	49.5%149 W · 152 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Arsenal FC	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Arsenal FC	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	272	27.9%76 W · 196 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+4.0wins	+0.34per pick	33cpaid	+94.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Arsenal FC	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	440	36.8%162 W · 278 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…ffb3backed Arsenal FC	29c	178.46$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Arsenal FC	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Arsenal FC	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Arsenal FC	30c	166.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	62	38.7%24 W · 38 L	-4.2wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	150$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	300	59.7%179 W · 121 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8311…3ed4backed Arsenal FC	29c	145.1$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+83.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	142$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.76	74	40.5%30 W · 44 L	-7.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Arsenal FC	29c	141.19$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.29	253	48.2%122 W · 131 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Arsenal FC	29c	137.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	353	28.6%101 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Arsenal FC	32c	126.5$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	99	40.4%40 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Arsenal FC	29c	122.28$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.46	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	117.58$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.58	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Arsenal FC	29c	117.07$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.94	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	115$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.2	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Arsenal FC	30c	113.79$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	426	58%247 W · 179 L	+24.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Arsenal FC	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	34%18 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	110$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	330	57%188 W · 142 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	73c	109.7$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.62	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	104$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.16	722	49.9%360 W · 362 L	+5.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	380	40.5%154 W · 226 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Arsenal FC	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Arsenal FC	27c	92.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	194	55.2%107 W · 87 L	+4.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e48…6fd3backed Arsenal FC	28c	80$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	67c	72.47$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.18	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Arsenal FC	48c	72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3167…f43cbacked Arsenal FC	28c	71.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5422…c3e2backed Arsenal FC	29c	69.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Arsenal FC	29c	68.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	61c	65.41$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.41	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arsenal FC	25c	62.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	891	52.9%471 W · 420 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Arsenal FC	29c	51.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.82	100	44%44 W · 56 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…5babbacked Arsenal FC	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	90	53.3%48 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Arsenal FC	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1,240	42.2%523 W · 717 L	-29.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	73c	49.39$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	48.54$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.49	153	53.6%82 W · 71 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Arsenal FC	35c	45.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	91	37.4%34 W · 57 L	-7.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arsenal FC	39c	44.07$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	515	16.1%83 W · 432 L	-49.9wins	-0.10per pick	26cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52ca…54f0backed Arsenal FC	29c	44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb7…8adcbacked Arsenal FC	30c	43.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c75…d40bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	36.72$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	61c	36.04$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.04	165	58.8%97 W · 68 L	+12.6wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	33$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.24	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	73c	32.49$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.77	76	51.3%39 W · 37 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	31.91$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.25	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e3…c0bbbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	30.4$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d57…2b4ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	41	56.1%23 W · 18 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb08b…e878backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	21$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.88	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe570…b4fabacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	53c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.4	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fa…222bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	72c	17.44$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.81	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	71c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.64	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	74cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)this page
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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