TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b62…5bab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.9
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10.68
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+88.9%+$35.56
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Israel x Syria security deal before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$779Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+61.2%+$476.38
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$80
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.74
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+60.3%+$18.1
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+78.1%+$23.44
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+106.8%+$49.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+251%+$31.41
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+94.3%+$28.3
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.4%+$18.08
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+37%+$11.09
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+71%+$10.65
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$6.93
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$15.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$3.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.48
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+79.4%+$11.07
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+54.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+72.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.7%+$12.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$53.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$24.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.