TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$284,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 325 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c95,066$46,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,170.541369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under50c30,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c21,905$11,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,780.081,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c17,068$8,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,157.5362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c16,775$8,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,202.2313348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb328…4df1backed Under53c11,000$5,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,830333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under49c5,229$2,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.785354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Over33c4,760$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.991717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-54.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under51c3,967$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.044057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c3,681$1,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.89747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under51c3,666$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.3131049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Under49c3,500$1,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,715616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under50c3,243$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.211844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over3c2,781$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.572352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over20c1,863$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.3548649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under51c1,856$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.761,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c1,568$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.928444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under23c1,564$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Under50c1,395$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under48c1,050$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over48c999.97$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.981258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under52c992.46$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over32c900$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6132317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over65c899.98$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under54c886.39$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Under50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over50c730.27$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over60c640$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c606.86$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacad…ee84backed Under52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over51c545.09$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Under2c521.53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4380%0 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c520.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.833745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c520.76$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.4359348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over50c519.27$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2008046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3383…a555backed Over2c500$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick3cpaid+2,400%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over61c476.93$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1863100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under54c460.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Under69c419.72$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.41757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fa…547ebacked Over49c419.46$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over49c402.41$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.234843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c399.93$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under51c394.34$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1110545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b2…c0dbbacked Over51c388.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa362…dff2backed Over56c357.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.26955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Under6c350.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.751764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over59c350$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.54744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511250.9%57 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.338654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under55c305.1$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.86248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Under10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over51c275.43$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over67c274.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3f…8cd6backed Over48c262.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over66c257.58$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.58875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over49c243$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.932832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over52c228.97$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.125650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0419…16bcbacked Over49c222.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Under54c220.37$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1193729.7%11 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-42.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under50c216.52$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.261485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+88.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over48c215.44$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.58944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over46c215.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.262128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Under45c214.78$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over65c206.12$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.123262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1084…21f2backed Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under36c204.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2812448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over49c203.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under51c199.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.996836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcff…b4dcbacked Over50c198.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Under53c192.72$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.142962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under52c192.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9826550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.75162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over61c180.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.896762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Under65c174.18$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over40c171.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.572352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over39c163.65$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.357352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over47c154.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under51c149.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Under52c149.21$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+90.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over35c145.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.716842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c134.43$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.439262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b2…fb61backed Over48c133.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x118d…a1d7backed Over49c132.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd189…9a6abacked Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.