TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Over32c13,133$4,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,193520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under72c9,944$7,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.29650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c4,680$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.561,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over28c2,605$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.433542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over26c2,532$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.935037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over42c1,123$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.11747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Over29c860$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.41050%5 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+46.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over28c715.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Under73c684.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over5c676.74$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under68c660.83$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c527.85$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0859348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d5…173dbacked Under73c400.3$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.784100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d8…3ce3backed Under78c394.98$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over46c373.02$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over16c357.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Under73c328.77$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under79c322$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+36.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd273…98c1backed Over21c307.18$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under65c292.79$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under69c291.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58b…cba8backed Over35c256.16$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Under79c253.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.496100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c249.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa362…dff2backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4406…c664backed Under77c232.24$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.091346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb838…cf88backed Over26c228.44$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+71.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc763…0534backed Under76c197.63$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Under72c178.03$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Over28c173.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.591428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under68c171.14$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7710545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over32c170$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.42035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over32c165.94$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over44c163.66$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.467352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026d…47edbacked Over32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over27c159.11$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9633148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Over20c150.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d42…4f02backed Under70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under72c138.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8926550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over36c138.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf73e…43f1backed Over28c138.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7360%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over27c135.9$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.172536%9 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Over28c135.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382520%5 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over21c131.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under70c128.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over11c124.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.915832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under68c123.76$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.519256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3de…3842backed Under73c121.92$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over22c121.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.784050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over43c120.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over21c115.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58e4…d654backed Over31c103.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+52.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over42c100.06$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425026%13 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.210952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over21c95.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over54c92.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over42c81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.778856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over38c80.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9611256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over31c80.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over13c79.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over20c78.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x24df…8335backed Under73c77.44$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Over30c66.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over16c63.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.012429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over17c63.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.892352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Under72c55.69$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.691478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over48c55.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.675650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over30c55$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.59747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Over28c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Over27c50.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.583158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over47c49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0120860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under63c47.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.214667.4%31 W · 15 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+16.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over46c44.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.415750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcbb…fd36backed Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over51c39.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over28c38.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.725957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over54c37.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over34c35.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4934…5951backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick65cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under61c29.99$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.82540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Under68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.413174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over40c29.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.665435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6506…a04bbacked Under76c28.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Under73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick73cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Under72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Under67c17.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under75c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.535343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.