Ligue 1 · resolved market
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fec5f27e7b0f13aec71617d3fe502cc21cf5992905bd3247f2c709a6d92dec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 5,769$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.27 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5905…a34cbacked Over | 80c | 2,675$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 12c | 1,798$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.27 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 12c | 1,499$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Under | 8c | 1,235$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Over | 80c | 1,034$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 12c | 833.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 24c | 672.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 12c | 626.01$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Under | 11c | 499.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 25c | 484.2$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 450.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 79c | 343.15$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Under | 14c | 202.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 11c | 186.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 13c | 169.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 78c | 156.74$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 18c | 121.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 12c | 112.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 16c | 95.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Under | 15c | 95.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 75c | 38.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.