TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,932
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,932 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c2,644$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.711,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under52c1,714$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under31c1,601$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,157$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.1662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over50c999.75$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.88650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+85.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over61c984.04$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.049657.3%55 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c879.13$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.651,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over70c584$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.859747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc8…6875backed Under45c576.87$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd045…6521backed Under52c569.85$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over63c566.61$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.651968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under31c511.87$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.41020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf587…f3e0backed Under52c461.5$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001910.5%2 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-74.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under30c333.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9926550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe45…f9a7backed Under51c312.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over50c300.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Under30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over57c300$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over64c271.88$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8824051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under52c253.87$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.911553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over48c219.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.763447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over46c219.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.74934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb838…cf88backed Under38c216.91$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.89540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb2…fea3backed Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b5…3f5ebacked Over61c169.21$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.42560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over69c162.32$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under30c159.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under38c152.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4759348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over60c149.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…6d76backed Under34c145.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c125.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over64c125$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c114$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.988333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under36c106$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.185343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over73c101.37$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.379262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546518.5%12 W · 53 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445060%30 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7205…3377backed Over68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over67c95.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.17352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa9…5c8ebacked Under35c88.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over68c85.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.293458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b0…627abacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Under30c79.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.97922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over68c78.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed Under32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251450%7 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb779…ab22backed Over73c78.08$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.08757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Over64c77.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Under49c76.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under36c59.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2812448.4%60 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1410964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under37c56.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.722352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over67c56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2810952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Over72c55.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.712536%9 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over69c54.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under32c51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5426346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…dc9bbacked Over48c47.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Under32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over71c45.07$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.071776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1fc…dc1cbacked Over59c42.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.09475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over51c41.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.545435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…42bbbacked Under31c40.97$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed9…0d07backed Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Under29c39.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6e1…ec41backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over67c35.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6820860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over47c35.72$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.931764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.338254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b5…4a34backed Under45c33.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb58e…4ccdbacked Over72c32.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over70c32.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.642774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152020%4 W · 16 L-3.9wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-54.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Over70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafdd…ae76backed Under67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under36c28.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae56…8c22backed Over71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Over71c27.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.99850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa507…4e3abacked Over47c27.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c8…7ee3backed Over69c25.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over70c25.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.545957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed Over62c24.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over59c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.085832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.