TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$356,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under46c166,485$77,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,413.342832.1%9 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over54c121,244$65,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,729.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Under49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.954854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c34,592$18,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,243.523,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over55c20,671$11,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,317.842,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over55c12,362$6,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,584.3210154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under46c11,504$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,249.5338748.3%187 W · 200 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c8,721$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,026.233244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c7,272$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,432.11,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under44c7,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.998752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over56c5,908$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.484650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Over53c5,660$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under46c5,051$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.159951.5%51 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over52c4,821$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,294.241650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over53c4,767$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.35152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…fb61backed Under50c4,407$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over58c3,523$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.2617251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over55c3,386$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.61,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under44c3,335$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.2210553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under46c2,690$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.1935856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.975145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over55c2,017$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.6922747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9605133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over42c1,999$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.42922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-50.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c1,764$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over75c1,407$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.861,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under3c1,400$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37220%0 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6b2…c0dbbacked Under51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+92.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over52c955$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.413461.9%83 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2379…bf16backed Over55c911.09$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Over55c909.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.497057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Over56c898.48$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c803.99$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.416850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Over51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c743.22$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.1856547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over54c731.86$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6653645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over63c692$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552548%12 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over54c600$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2765068%34 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over20c579.44$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.552619.2%5 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…73a1backed Under50c509.67$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2590…e38ebacked Under8c500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.88300%0 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over53c495$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.659459.6%56 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over52c444.23$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.233369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over53c367.26$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9631145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over70c313.62$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.622470.8%17 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.524258.7%142 W · 100 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over58c249.61$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.619243.5%40 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4de1…22a0backed Under8c236.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92160%0 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7509…e8b4backed Under45c224.61$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.140%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under45c223.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9115453.9%83 W · 71 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…2e45backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Under47c211.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c211.37$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.841,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over55c211.3$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0910642.5%45 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Over55c201$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.458959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over54c199.94$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.973458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c195.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1822854.8%125 W · 103 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Over50c185$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.57439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over57c184.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.216659.1%39 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579062.2%56 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5532…68babacked Over49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c154.03$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3163645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.528955.1%49 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad0a…7898backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Under43c150$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.57847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under49c149.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3771…3eeebacked Under46c144.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over56c140.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9410552.4%55 W · 50 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Over53c137.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Under37c134.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+67.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over58c131.88$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5226433.3%88 W · 176 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over52c129.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0321051.4%108 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Under46c126.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586845.6%31 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over52c121.73$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7325850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under45c119.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.613254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Under45c118.15$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.173154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under42c115$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.314355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8b…51f7backed Over53c113.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.582138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under47c106.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…7930backed Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under38c100.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.32941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3738845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4611060%66 W · 44 L+13.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4984…7aaabacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4634655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156063.3%38 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1520957.4%120 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over55c94.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.712254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over57c93.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4676234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.