Bundesliga · resolved market
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x927962ca9adb4e23ada01b0947e843fe2521489a57118a5d82095a0fc51bb11e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $146,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 63c | 84,266$53,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,173.33 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 70c | 45,614$31,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,684.3 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 38c | 25,046$9,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,528.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 13,662$4,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,846.23 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 5,710$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 67c | 3,858$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.12 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 3,397$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 34c | 2,507$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 34c | 2,155$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.69 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 30c | 1,797$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.1 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 1,550$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.9 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 37c | 1,547$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.37 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Under | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 30c | 345.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.75 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 34c | 303.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 239.54$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 49c | 205.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 38c | 188.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.13 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -15.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b1…1539backed Over | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3284…45adbacked Under | 68c | 148$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 29c | 135.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 37c | 117.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 32c | 114.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 29c | 114.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 46c | 104$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 50c | 103.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 50c | 92.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 36c | 75.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 35c | 74.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 24c | 72.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 70c | 71.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…a3b1backed Under | 60c | 70.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 45c | 66.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…4ac7backed Under | 79c | 61.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 59.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 30c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Under | 71c | 52.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 40c | 43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc35…91ddbacked Under | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…5babbacked Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…2eddbacked Under | 68c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…2988backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 68c | 20.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 73c | 20.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 67c | 17.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5this page
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.