Middle East · resolved market
Israel military action against Iran before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd25ff3223a2233f6cd96a349455ca3237931c64358792f90c5f02d8cc39be38d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,506,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,512,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,506,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,732 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0a0…ac10backed Yes | 40c | 137,301$54,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,715.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +168%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 68c | 124,548$84,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,628.81 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 58c | 113,458$65,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,691.79 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 68c | 112,102$76,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,495.5 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 22c | 90,707$19,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,796.52 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 66c | 86,941$57,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,654.06 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…fa02backed Yes | 22c | 83,382$18,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,945.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 73c | 75,929$55,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,793.18 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 29c | 73,373$21,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,408.66 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…4275backed Yes | 25c | 66,260$16,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,957.68 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +126%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 35c | 65,808$22,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,016.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked No | 69c | 65,555$45,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,447.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 34c | 60,493$20,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,062.45 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 70c | 58,794$41,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,221.97 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 72c | 58,386$41,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,871.73 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…c93bbacked No | 75c | 57,999$43,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,486.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed1…fcfdbacked Yes | 32c | 57,824$18,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,037.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +41%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 72c | 51,860$37,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,474.61 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 66c | 47,500$31,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,112.83 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…adf9backed Yes | 23c | 45,000$10,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,820.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +266.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…67babacked Yes | 22c | 42,741$9,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,338.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…c93cbacked Yes | 26c | 41,234$10,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,610 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 53c | 40,991$21,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,801.71 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 76c | 36,054$27,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,300.65 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 56c | 36,000$20,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,295.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 43c | 35,415$15,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,011.62 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…d428backed Yes | 19c | 34,700$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,010.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 28c | 32,175$9,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,020.56 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc851…cd2abacked No | 59c | 31,499$18,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,472.25 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…6634backed Yes | 29c | 31,260$9,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,132.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 25c | 30,403$7,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,678.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +193.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…951abacked Yes | 24c | 30,064$7,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,943.64 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…28e5backed Yes | 23c | 30,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,999.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…415fbacked Yes | 20c | 29,832$6,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,821.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +233.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed No | 51c | 28,674$14,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,711.95 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0afc…30b2backed Yes | 45c | 28,572$12,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,787.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 38cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 60c | 27,828$16,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,588.96 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…4231backed Yes | 35c | 27,779$9,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,996.61 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 64c | 26,739$17,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,057.51 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 49c | 25,737$12,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,688.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes | 51c | 25,362$13,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,340.57 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked Yes | 26c | 25,322$6,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,795.87 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0856…b042backed No | 75c | 25,000$18,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 60c | 24,470$14,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,599.02 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 27c | 23,222$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,021.97 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…4353backed Yes | 27c | 21,494$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,586.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 60c | 21,350$12,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,736.38 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22e…cb68backed Yes | 28c | 21,203$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,235.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f22…faafbacked Yes | 30c | 21,136$6,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,743.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +579.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…37e3backed No | 1c | 20,743$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 62c | 20,493$12,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,683.66 | 175 | 30.9%54 W · 121 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5afd…7e8dbacked Yes | 27c | 20,437$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,866.47 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 78c | 19,233$15,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,084.62 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…8b6cbacked No | 78c | 19,000$14,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,820 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…b691backed Yes | 26c | 18,972$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,971.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 21cpaid | +278.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…38fcbacked Yes | 53c | 18,692$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,691.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 71c | 18,660$13,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,302.56 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed No | 57c | 18,600$10,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,569.76 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 24c | 18,581$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,076.92 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 74c | 18,544$13,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,768.17 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…46a4backed Yes | 31c | 18,384$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,608.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 71c | 18,014$12,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,855.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed No | 62c | 17,558$10,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,829.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 75c | 17,300$12,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,924.95 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…79b0backed Yes | 28c | 16,212$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,707.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 54c | 15,814$8,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.97 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 73c | 15,490$11,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,267.87 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 60c | 14,311$8,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,788.57 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 44c | 14,269$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,327.06 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked No | 71c | 14,156$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…b145backed Yes | 29c | 14,105$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,987.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 77c | 14,097$10,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,864.57 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked No | 75c | 14,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 49c | 13,734$6,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 58c | 13,013$7,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,501.11 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked No | 68c | 13,000$8,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,865.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…9026backed No | 74c | 13,000$9,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,639.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed Yes | 29c | 12,999$3,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,173.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 38c | 12,974$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.62 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…f7e0backed No | 59c | 12,565$7,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,416.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c3…289cbacked Yes | 46c | 12,452$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,692.27 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…85c0backed Yes | 39c | 12,205$4,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,443.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 66c | 11,953$7,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.43 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 67c | 11,836$7,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,898.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…0be7backed Yes | 42c | 11,808$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,856.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…e7cabacked No | 34c | 11,800$3,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,954.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…3d75backed No | 78c | 11,454$8,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,888.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 31c | 11,151$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,718.92 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…2677backed Yes | 31c | 10,768$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x118f…4f4bbacked Yes | 29c | 10,600$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,546 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +370.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 63c | 10,507$6,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,881.13 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked No | 39c | 10,402$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.02 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…d227backed No | 71c | 10,367$7,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,382.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 72c | 10,316$7,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,390.96 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed No | 45c | 10,080$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…a5c8backed Yes | 32c | 10,078$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,890.64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 57c | 10,062$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.67 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 34c | 9,895$3,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.33 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…6cfdbacked No | 51c | 9,763$4,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 48cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked No | 1c | 9,748$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 266 | 19.2%51 W · 215 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.