NHL · resolved market
Golden Knights vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe656e28a7c74c33d85e6a9d62cecf797e88b442c86d8041a8628db6c93d9fd27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Golden Knights, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $933,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $937,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $933,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Golden Knights | 50c | 282,453$141,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141,015.33 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Golden Knights | 50c | 258,198$127,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127,944.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Capitals | 50c | 151,582$75,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,790.83 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Capitals | 52c | 100,500$52,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,240.18 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Capitals | 50c | 83,336$41,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,667.94 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Capitals | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Capitals | 50c | 34,000$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Capitals | 51c | 25,572$13,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,530.4 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Capitals | 51c | 20,839$10,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,210.91 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 18,958$9,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,153.97 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 79c | 17,583$13,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.68 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Capitals | 50c | 16,388$8,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,169 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Golden Knights | 49c | 15,055$7,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,376.88 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Capitals | 51c | 14,420$7,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,065.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Capitals | 51c | 10,458$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,119.66 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Golden Knights | 50c | 10,061$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.79 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Capitals | 50c | 8,921$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430.29 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Capitals | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Capitals | 51c | 6,712$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.16 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Golden Knights | 11c | 6,350$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.66 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Capitals | 52c | 5,337$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.85 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Golden Knights | 0c | 5,256$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bca…126ebacked Capitals | 53c | 5,099$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Capitals | 67c | 4,818$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.27 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…905bbacked Capitals | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Golden Knights | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Capitals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…18b1backed Capitals | 53c | 3,956$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.38 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db5…072ebacked Golden Knights | 48c | 3,900$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…0f0abacked Capitals | 52c | 3,900$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights | 51c | 3,636$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.12 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Golden Knights | 6c | 3,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Capitals | 51c | 3,475$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.51 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed Golden Knights | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Capitals | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Golden Knights | 36c | 2,803$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.41 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Capitals | 51c | 2,800$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.27 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Capitals | 50c | 2,754$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.24 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Capitals | 51c | 2,741$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.09 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Golden Knights | 49c | 2,645$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Golden Knights | 5c | 2,626$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.86 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…20e4backed Golden Knights | 48c | 2,620$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…de8cbacked Capitals | 52c | 2,559$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189d…4882backed Capitals | 52c | 2,440$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Capitals | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169f…9dc8backed Golden Knights | 48c | 2,378$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Golden Knights | 8c | 2,332$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bf…83d2backed Capitals | 52c | 2,269$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 2,250$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Golden Knights | 15c | 2,227$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.93 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.52 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Golden Knights | 8c | 2,026$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Capitals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Golden Knights | 6c | 1,897$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7a…a351backed Capitals | 52c | 1,794$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Capitals | 50c | 1,665$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.46 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…2728backed Golden Knights | 3c | 1,658$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Golden Knights | 49c | 1,590$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.85 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0df…c112backed Golden Knights | 50c | 1,582$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c7…3c49backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,551$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Capitals | 65c | 1,500$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,460$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.46 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…4de6backed Capitals | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 45c | 1,445$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.43 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 1,443$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.03 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Capitals | 53c | 1,424$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.17 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Capitals | 51c | 1,410$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.86 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…19e2backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,405$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Capitals | 51c | 1,304$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.81 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…38d5backed Capitals | 51c | 1,260$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Capitals | 50c | 1,239$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.06 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 1,133$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.47 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 1,113$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc038…6b83backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,104$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Capitals | 52c | 1,051$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 68c | 1,043$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.53 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…0dc5backed Golden Knights | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Capitals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Capitals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Capitals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Capitals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…4d55backed Golden Knights | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights | 48c | 999.94$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.97 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b6…e4e1backed Golden Knights | 2c | 999.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Capitals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Capitals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Capitals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Capitals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Golden Knights | 31c | 953$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.04 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 50c | 940.01$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.01 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights | 48c | 907.39$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Golden Knights | 49c | 906.12$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b9…6fa7backed Capitals | 51c | 905.42$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…8be0backed Capitals | 51c | 903.4$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden Knights vs. Capitalsthis page
- Golden Knights vs. Capitals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Golden Knights vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5Under won
- Golden Knights vs. Capitals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Capitals (-1.5)Golden Knights won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.