TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$938,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$945,706

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $938,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c486,115$261,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,449.542055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Under49c190,000$92,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under46c140,490$64,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,864.728940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under47c120,000$55,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,20035442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under46c95,177$43,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,395.4510438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3333…15bdbacked Over50c65,357$32,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,678.542035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c42,453$19,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,584.41,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c30,056$13,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,129.7324145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under48c24,806$11,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,986.6290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c19,590$9,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,824.5420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1a…b2bdbacked Under48c18,763$9,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,756.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc178…d848backed Over52c18,455$9,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,596.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under48c17,972$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,291.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under47c11,238$5,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.9850449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1001861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.8920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c9,738$4,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,161.1964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c7,972$4,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,550.364,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c7,292$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.2669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c6,625$3,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,396.733,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over54c5,541$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,992728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c3,705$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.1732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under47c3,333$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.497443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over36c3,300$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.992924.1%7 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Under75c3,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5907353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over54c2,402$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f12…70d4backed Over52c2,115$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under48c2,027$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.089956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over53c2,024$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.4811444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under56c1,964$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.321,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,896$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.9650149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+49.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Under60c1,674$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c1,538$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.0426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under46c1,522$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.8820159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Over51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.961225%3 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Under51c1,279$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.151241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Under48c1,273$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.041643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over52c1,259$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.61957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over37c1,233$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.0813045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Under70c1,200$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Under71c1,186$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.233764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over53c1,132$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under74c1,103$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over53c1,024$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52513551.1%69 W · 66 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5101942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5409052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49011333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002524%6 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over52c899.21$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.593330.3%10 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42422552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over27c738.73$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over38c718.66$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.78940.4%36 W · 53 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked Under59c700$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c698.07$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.511,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under72c644.81$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.2483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Under49c627$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.771070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+74.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over30c574.35$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under70c568.43$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.825232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c552.39$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.679748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Over54c549.89$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.941258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Under60c546.26$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…73a1backed Over54c520.39$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over49c512.94$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.731070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Under66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe306…0380backed Under8c500$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under47c499.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.994757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over22c481.94$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.546350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Under48c416.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.126643.9%29 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under70c416$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6213249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Under49c412.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.191258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6081…f0f2backed Over50c400.08$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3477…ea61backed Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-32.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over33c399.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302045%9 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over53c390$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.79634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over19c369.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over32c347.57$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0618152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcebe…0720backed Over26c345.51$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5530%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under62c322.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8215443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over47c320.34$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2820843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Over50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1604852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa0…ce92backed Under49c308.27$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15919750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15931751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0dd…19eabacked Under61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over50c292$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over67c277.77$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1864353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Over75c274.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.4813969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Under16c263.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2213467.6%23 W · 11 L+9.0wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+113.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c255.57$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4519344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under48c250.71$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.425759.6%34 W · 23 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.529053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.