La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc6343f3360e31cfaaaf915c84f0784ee22a285202181b3a2efc63197d023d91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a36…f405backed Under | 68c | 16,010$10,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d8…06d1backed Over | 32c | 16,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 6,232$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 5,918$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 67c | 3,666$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.68 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e99…e794backed Under | 69c | 3,200$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 3,054$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.97 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 7c | 2,907$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 33c | 2,281$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.9 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 9c | 2,162$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…fd37backed Over | 31c | 2,097$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 30c | 1,250$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.37 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 68c | 871.32$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.82 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…e75cbacked Over | 35c | 867.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 67c | 794.99$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 13c | 774.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 68c | 586.88$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 28c | 586.65$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Under | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Under | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 8c | 464.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 13c | 414.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 33c | 387.88$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 69c | 384$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 32c | 375.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Under | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 3c | 331.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdec…7ad6backed Over | 31c | 229.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 32c | 217$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 32c | 170$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Under | 69c | 160$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 18c | 149.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 33c | 105.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…e53abacked Under | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8a…e426backed Under | 69c | 79.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…c365backed Under | 76c | 75.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 31c | 62.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +116%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…5ab3backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…a474backed Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 68c | 52.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 276 | 53.6%148 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 33c | 51.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 33c | 50.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…ae58backed Under | 67c | 46.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eaa…8561backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 31c | 39.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Under | 68c | 36.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…fd36backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 33c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…93a8backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8c…8293backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3595…51d9backed Under | 73c | 26.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 67c | 25.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Under | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Under | 69c | 21.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…6823backed Under | 73c | 21.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…ea3bbacked Under | 68c | 21.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b58…c920backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd1…5d5fbacked Under | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 73cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…4605backed Under | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…5b75backed Under | 67c | 19.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Under | 67c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Under | 80c | 16.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6d…8601backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5this page
- Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.