TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$553,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$545,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $553,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under46c202,103$93,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108,242.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over53c65,227$34,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,570.1419253.1%102 W · 90 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c62,151$31,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,031.926,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Under45c26,226$11,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,424.347753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over54c26,000$14,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,039.993633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee6…81cebacked Under45c21,500$9,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,8101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+121.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433a…3bd8backed Over55c18,500$10,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,17510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Over24c14,998$3,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,589.668531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under45c14,535$6,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,994.4711149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under46c13,012$5,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,056.6337054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over54c12,512$6,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,740.7312454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over55c12,272$6,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,765.352,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under46c10,870$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.545655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over55c10,800$5,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8921,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,40035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Under61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+85%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.950644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under46c9,413$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.0419239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd414…6a0cbacked Under44c9,000$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,019.942650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00011445.6%52 W · 62 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c7,926$4,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,290.972,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over56c7,216$4,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0413647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over54c7,189$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.5621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under45c6,500$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,574.9513444.8%60 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over54c6,111$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over57c5,561$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.834738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70018433.7%62 W · 122 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Over8c4,999$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9411942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16018362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Over45c3,512$1,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.814252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under54c3,500$1,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.644235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over48c3,368$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6244621.7%10 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-51.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over55c3,260$1,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,783.7728242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under46c3,259$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.7416651.2%85 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Over5c3,194$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.76520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc862…65afbacked Under46c3,152$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over17c3,057$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.1246943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under46c3,000$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a95…000bbacked Over55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over42c2,829$1,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,19135428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under44c2,800$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5684445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Over55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c2,635$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.8551750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over54c2,592$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+68.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over54c2,506$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.1913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c2,427$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.5852454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Over21c2,416$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over21c2,324$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.924,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over56c2,142$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.388448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08026651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over55c2,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.9910743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over51c1,999$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.542544%11 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over54c1,910$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.066750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over54c1,771$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.4312949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over54c1,656$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8949053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc62c…2c44backed Over56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under46c1,386$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.199153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over17c1,367$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.811,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be4…a5d7backed Over55c1,346$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.119846.9%46 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x434d…bed3backed Over55c1,073$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under46c1,068$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.824755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c1,001$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.222,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5109134.1%31 W · 60 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+51.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over55c999.95$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9720448.5%99 W · 105 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over10c962.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over53c939$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.677230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Over55c935.76$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008158%47 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe90…5bbbbacked Over57c882.46$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50320%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under44c862$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.130149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under45c827.33$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.0335941.5%149 W · 210 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over55c809.51$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.237544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44821656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…fc11backed Over55c732.73$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over54c703.7$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3803063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over54c702.68$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.6823250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c675.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over55c636.36$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35026344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over54c599.99$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32423258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over49c572.92$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6616357.1%93 W · 70 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Over54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over54c550$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29717327.2%47 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c530$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.272249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27018646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c473.57$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26120054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over56c469.1$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.367250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under67c450.76$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.51,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507847.4%37 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Over56c440.18$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1a…68d8backed Under47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over25c399.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.281,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under46c391.83$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.594560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over44c391.61$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0749753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.