Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba849af4091fbcb7fd5d087d3c230288e03064754d24ed372ce751b30ff496e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Everton FCof Manchester United FC, Everton FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Everton FC | 76c | 21,240$16,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100.37 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 9,437$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.85 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Manchester United FC | 20c | 6,794$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 5,710$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.41 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Everton FC | 74c | 4,963$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.06 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Everton FC | 74c | 4,460$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.69 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Everton FC | 74c | 4,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Everton FC | 73c | 3,761$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.71 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Everton FC | 74c | 2,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.7 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 2,604$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 2,593$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…217ebacked Manchester United FC | 28c | 2,143$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3df…beefbacked Everton FC | 74c | 2,100$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…fcfcbacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 2,094$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 2,050$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 1,904$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.02 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 1,879$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.54 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Manchester United FC | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Everton FC | 75c | 1,418$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.74 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Manchester United FC | 24c | 1,249$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.36 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Everton FC | 73c | 1,112$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.33 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Manchester United FC | 25c | 887.92$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 850$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 740.72$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.59 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…f1ddbacked Manchester United FC | 15c | 699.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +61%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Everton FC | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Manchester United FC | 20c | 599.8$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Manchester United FC | 22c | 566.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Everton FC | 74c | 503$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Everton FC | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…6cb8backed Manchester United FC | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…2e23backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 477.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Everton FC | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Manchester United FC | 17c | 291.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 291.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Everton FC | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…25dcbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 206.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Everton FC | 78c | 204.17$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Everton FC | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Manchester United FC | 22c | 195.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 175.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Manchester United FC | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 154.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…bd33backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 154.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…4dc4backed Manchester United FC | 10c | 142.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 136.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Everton FC | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2d…4565backed Everton FC | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Everton FC | 74c | 133.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…91aabacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 131$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Manchester United FC | 16c | 118.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Manchester United FC | 26c | 116.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Everton FC | 75c | 115.49$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Everton FC | 73c | 108.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Manchester United FC | 25c | 100.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…aa16backed Everton FC | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…789abacked Everton FC | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Manchester United FC | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Everton FC | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…1bf2backed Manchester United FC | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Everton FC | 75c | 98.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd4…7343backed Everton FC | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…43a2backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 82.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 76.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Everton FC | 72c | 76.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Everton FC | 76c | 75.52$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Everton FC | 73c | 75.25$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Everton FC | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 66.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b9…1031backed Manchester United FC | 21c | 65.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…6124backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Everton FC | 76c | 56.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Manchester United FC | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…ae81backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 53.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…5c2abacked Everton FC | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 49.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36e…ad3abacked Manchester United FC | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…24a6backed Manchester United FC | 27c | 44.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Everton FC | 75c | 42.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Manchester United FC | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…2ccfbacked Everton FC | 79c | 41.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Everton FC | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Everton FC | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa267…5467backed Everton FC | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Everton FC | 73c | 40.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 271 | 73.8%200 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)this page
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.