Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Syria security deal before September?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e7947fef685b3e50c253fa7d117624db2a9676661f3107652fa019cff70eb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 0c | 10,580$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked Yes | 0c | 10,116$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…efb0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,415$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 62c | 7,977$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.22 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 77c | 5,458$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.31 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…2a75backed Yes | 1c | 5,087$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 41c | 5,056$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.12 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 44c | 4,856$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.18 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 33c | 4,057$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.6 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed Yes | 49c | 3,500$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 49c | 3,427$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.04 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 50c | 3,100$1,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…5c8fbacked Yes | 32c | 3,005$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 49c | 2,875$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.03 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dd…c8a5backed Yes | 3c | 2,860$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,807$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.9 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6059…2f6ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,470$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 51c | 2,376$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.47 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…ba73backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,979$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.49 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 10c | 1,889$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 18c | 1,689$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Yes | 51c | 1,634$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.51 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 23c | 1,590$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.71 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…fce0backed Yes | 3c | 1,570$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…648dbacked No | 71c | 1,545$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Yes | 6c | 1,489$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb6…cd28backed Yes | 73c | 1,463$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 1,390$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.88 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 29c | 1,285$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.26 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 14c | 1,258$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 8c | 1,204$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.56 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 33c | 1,183$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.46 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 19c | 1,143$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 49c | 1,103$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.06 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 18c | 1,097$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.06 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 79c | 1,087$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.24 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 21c | 1,064$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 80c | 1,032$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 47c | 999.54$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…fdb4backed Yes | 27c | 935.29$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 20c | 930.16$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.65 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 48c | 928.26$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.26 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed No | 16c | 923.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.37 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 10c | 922.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.51 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 51c | 919.84$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.05 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 13c | 846.8$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 52c | 814.97$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.19 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…df91backed Yes | 20c | 802.35$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 31c | 799.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.99 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 45c | 794.81$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.73 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…c6adbacked No | 34c | 792.07$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 786.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb753…f859backed No | 52c | 764.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…fc03backed Yes | 23c | 762.01$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 5c | 759.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 25c | 757.51$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 60c | 754.46$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.39 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 13c | 748.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed Yes | 7c | 674.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 18c | 668.05$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…d86fbacked No | 64c | 645.96$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.03 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed No | 9c | 642$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 67c | 610.64$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed No | 72c | 610.06$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…8978backed Yes | 66c | 609.84$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…0970backed Yes | 33c | 600.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 599.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 63c | 586$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.24 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes | 47c | 556.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 34c | 550$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes | 54c | 544.98$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 22c | 538.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 63c | 515.24$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.79 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…2682backed Yes | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fda…5b87backed No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 10c | 499.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 20c | 488.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.54 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…4d49backed Yes | 58c | 464.05$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 71c | 454.91$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.93 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -9.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed Yes | 51c | 453.25$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…0650backed Yes | 67c | 444.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f4b1backed Yes | 21c | 420.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 43c | 405.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.84 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 35c | 401$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.08 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecef…b593backed Yes | 63c | 401$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.77 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 400$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked No | 43c | 397.18$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 44c | 364.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…edc4backed Yes | 8c | 363.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…d319backed No | 73c | 316.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.38 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…a783backed Yes | 64c | 311.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 56c | 310.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 9c | 310.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 21c | 309.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 66c | 303.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.