Us Politics · resolved market
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b2a1f078cd5c664b5c297e3974065134aa1eda70a7b97abdc60c83932bb516a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $997,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $985,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 698 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 51c | 46,186$23,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,509.18 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 29c | 37,751$10,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,870.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 46c | 35,710$16,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,552.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 2c | 27,109$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.8 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,972$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1db2backed Yes | 69c | 14,528$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed No | 44c | 14,242$6,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,036.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 8c | 13,750$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 53c | 12,899$6,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,876.26 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fa…1a14backed No | 68c | 12,738$8,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.46 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +277.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 44c | 12,419$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,980.2 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 24c | 12,134$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.71 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…a113backed Yes | 50c | 11,989$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646b…5112backed Yes | 16c | 10,190$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 13c | 9,624$1,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.52 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 41c | 9,510$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,618.11 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…cafcbacked Yes | 3c | 9,399$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.03 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b62…650ebacked No | 61c | 9,239$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b84…bae0backed Yes | 3c | 7,504$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…65d2backed Yes | 1c | 7,416$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 77c | 7,228$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.2 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 3c | 7,151$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.66 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…9506backed Yes | 75c | 7,005$5,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 9c | 6,856$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.28 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 19c | 6,441$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.2 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 13c | 5,937$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.77 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…fccdbacked No | 34c | 5,730$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 17c | 5,300$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.06 | 81 | 11.1%9 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed Yes | 21c | 5,300$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…aaabbacked Yes | 1c | 5,254$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…1574backed Yes | 11c | 4,746$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 47c | 4,665$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked No | 76c | 4,451$3,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.41 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +7.5wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…afc9backed Yes | 46c | 4,340$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 26c | 4,271$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.29 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…98cebacked No | 69c | 3,977$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…f76dbacked Yes | 8c | 3,827$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 40c | 3,727$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.42 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Yes | 62c | 3,696$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…c1f6backed Yes | 8c | 3,625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 64c | 3,574$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.96 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 26c | 3,519$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.48 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 5c | 3,500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbf…4665backed No | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…b6cebacked Yes | 67c | 3,485$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 3,458$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 74c | 3,225$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.4 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…cfa0backed Yes | 6c | 3,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…bd47backed Yes | 26c | 2,983$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 48c | 2,959$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 79c | 2,956$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.95 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,876$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 9c | 2,796$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.87 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eff…1071backed Yes | 1c | 2,767$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed No | 55c | 2,712$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,664$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 45c | 2,645$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…21dcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,625$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,573$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed No | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 45c | 2,448$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.45 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…68cabacked Yes | 51c | 2,382$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ab…e832backed No | 23c | 2,360$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +341%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…b235backed Yes | 55c | 2,301$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 9c | 2,274$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.68 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 50c | 2,273$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…c8f4backed Yes | 4c | 2,261$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 71c | 2,260$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 6c | 2,205$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…7d1fbacked Yes | 17c | 2,131$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 10c | 2,118$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 71c | 2,109$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…0b1abacked Yes | 26c | 2,033$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…66c5backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f67…978bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,000$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…7b2ebacked Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.97 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked Yes | 22c | 1,957$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,950$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,913$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…40e0backed No | 58c | 1,900$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 57c | 1,899$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.28 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 31c | 1,869$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.78 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…4068backed Yes | 5c | 1,841$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 48c | 1,800$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…5d5bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,780$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed No | 78c | 1,777$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 3c | 1,774$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe162…8a81backed Yes | 6c | 1,730$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 49c | 1,686$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.41 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…b423backed Yes | 6c | 1,616$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…d582backed Yes | 7c | 1,600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…ce0abacked Yes | 39c | 1,573$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.66 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f18…dd7fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,559$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed Yes | 16c | 1,533$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.36 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,533$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…f328backed Yes | 21c | 1,525$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…2b5fbacked Yes | 46c | 1,512$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…456dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.