Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1e8a7108d53d91976b9f750a6f53c0525952e4b7266cb5a242cb189377c6a66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 4,883$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.02 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 15c | 4,879$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.64 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 19c | 4,605$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.95 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 3,664$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.38 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 9c | 1,330$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…7fc3backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Under | 9c | 1,076$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…821fbacked Over | 80c | 874.13$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 79c | 847.68$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 15c | 674.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.18 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Over | 80c | 498.05$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc403…546fbacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 22c | 341.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 21c | 326$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 80c | 312.01$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…ea76backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 78cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 80c | 203.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda4…d5dbbacked Over | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…aebdbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -9.1wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…5379backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…416cbacked Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Over | 79c | 105.79$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 12c | 98.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…ec8abacked Over | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9297…e0ccbacked Under | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 80c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 80c | 40.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed Over | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 80cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 80c | 25.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…fe2abacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Over | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6f…5a01backed Over | 78c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…5babbacked Over | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b0b7backed Over | 80c | 15.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 80c | 15.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…5424backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.