TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,917
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$553,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,917 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under45c179,077$80,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,584.843930.8%12 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Over55c96,000$52,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,199.981163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over55c62,500$34,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,1251450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under45c50,182$22,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,582.071947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked Over56c44,630$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,629.762429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-37.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Under45c40,000$17,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,799.9611149.5%55 W · 56 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over55c20,595$11,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,240.672,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Over55c12,826$7,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,771.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under44c12,000$5,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,28037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa128…8d4bbacked Over58c9,358$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,958.342070%14 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over56c8,227$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,618.752475%18 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over55c7,865$4,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,539.3485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over56c4,999$2,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.569256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over57c3,525$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.658448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under45c3,333$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009350.5%47 W · 46 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over55c3,333$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.8518259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44f1…1494backed Over56c3,150$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fec…bd05backed Under43c3,150$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under52c2,803$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.563644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over71c2,803$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.7616753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over57c2,586$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.9828242.2%119 W · 163 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over53c2,099$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.581540%6 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6646…0925backed Over57c2,006$1,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+180%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.014938.8%19 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10026548.3%128 W · 137 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb952…3561backed Under43c1,999$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick29cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under43c1,827$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.574445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over55c1,822$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.0452454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.145350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9726651.1%136 W · 130 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+50.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over56c1,037$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2512324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over55c1,020$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.692,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Over56c1,015$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.757055.7%39 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Under52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over56c999.89$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9542048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c993.08$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.522,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1915757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.194738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under29c875.07$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.871,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1d7…73a1backed Under35c704.17$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over57c668.65$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.524858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c606.53$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.274,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34830645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over57c587.72$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.7220054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c581.04$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.136,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under46c536.07$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.761,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7938…95ccbacked Over72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over55c451.38$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.129732%31 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over70c450$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353868.4%26 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcb…c800backed Over57c386.74$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over69c373$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over57c370$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.130143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.648746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69bc…aafabacked Under44c361.75$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1614…800fbacked Under44c359.54$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…5e55backed Under44c356.17$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5f…fcb6backed Over57c355.88$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad78…1d63backed Over56c355.02$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd225…36f5backed Under44c353.89$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf755…6e8dbacked Over57c351.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb322…54debacked Under44c351.23$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff9…5084backed Under44c349.36$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over57c347.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.857146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2388…5015backed Over57c346.19$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…5137backed Over57c344.56$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe886…daedbacked Over57c343.03$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x484c…ac16backed Under44c342.68$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over54c338.59$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7549254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under31c338$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.196645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d47…7764backed Over57c337.9$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aef…498ebacked Over57c333.63$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f61…4e52backed Under45c244.41$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.98425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c226.09$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0916731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe761…8a64backed Under45c222.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0835134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5610252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2949…4cc8backed Over65c200.21$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9039948.4%193 W · 206 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Over55c199.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9912047.5%57 W · 63 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over57c199.95$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.989444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under32c195.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2146943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over69c185$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.513842.8%59 W · 79 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9726…349fbacked Over56c175.86$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.53545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over56c172.51$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.95058%29 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under46c164.54$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.696750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over69c160$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Under47c155.12$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9110036%36 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Under44c155$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.22060%12 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a1c…ec92backed Under51c150.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under44c150$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over69c150$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705438.9%21 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.