TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a9b…b0b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$18.51
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.64
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15.85
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+66.7%+$72.32
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+105.5%+$24.13
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.7%+$9.92
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+58%+$8.12
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+60.2%+$7.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+25%+$3.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$46.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+82.9%+$12.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+54.6%+$6.01
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.5%+$8.65
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+76.6%+$12.26
All 12 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+63.7%+$15.56
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+55.1%+$11.57
International T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)backed Perth Scorchers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$17.5
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+233.3%+$81.67
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33.78
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 3)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+40.3%+$40.28
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$33.9
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs Ireland (Game 3)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+53.4%+$10.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick65cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$46.63
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$49.99
Devils vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Hurricanes vs. Predatorsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Rangers vs. Hurricanesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Devils vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+69.5%+$14.89
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+55.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.59
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+38.9%+$19.44
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.64
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.81
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+44.9%+$14.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston College Eagles vs. Massachusetts Minutemenbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$85.05
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+32.6%+$10.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Partizan vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.