Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x308fd35f693996ba5f0c4a4ce1c8ea55ab7799e5cd0de7e5af4f80f590ad4439
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 19c | 60,000$11,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,393.69 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 79c | 50,010$39,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.59 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 34c | 16,868$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 26c | 15,892$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.58 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 68c | 7,876$5,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.43 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 3,814$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 24c | 3,037$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 2,227$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.82 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 32c | 2,179$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.29 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,714$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 68c | 1,687$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,670$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 29c | 1,544$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.9 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 33c | 1,328$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,303$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.29 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895e…8f2cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,146$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 13c | 1,094$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.68 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…14bfbacked No | 8c | 999.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +746.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 30c | 924.04$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.11 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 79c | 910.48$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e93…a140backed Yes | 68c | 728.68$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…94b2backed Yes | 66c | 688.85$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 675.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -17.3wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 17c | 604.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00a7…eb44backed Yes | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Yes | 67c | 597.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 74c | 520.93$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…6d51backed Yes | 67c | 492.61$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 25c | 491.37$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.45 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 67c | 449.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.66 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 67c | 447.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 67c | 399.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 67c | 399.97$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 66c | 398.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes | 67c | 371.5$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…41afbacked Yes | 76c | 339.59$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 67c | 333.5$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.91 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 15c | 319.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ec…585abacked Yes | 69c | 317.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ec…2065backed No | 27c | 315.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 35c | 295.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 68c | 294.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes | 68c | 285.29$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 67c | 268.66$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e3…b595backed No | 14c | 262.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 69c | 256.35$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 5c | 225.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 67c | 211.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…5c70backed Yes | 69c | 209.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 67c | 208.09$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 13c | 206.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88e3…4ed2backed Yes | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 77c | 202$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked Yes | 68c | 201.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 67c | 199.34$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 63c | 175.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 171$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 74c | 168.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…72dcbacked Yes | 68c | 161.76$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…910abacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…1a9cbacked Yes | 67c | 149.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 149.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 66c | 148.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…38cdbacked Yes | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…932abacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 33c | 136.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 80c | 134.8$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed No | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 68c | 129.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed No | 33c | 124.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?this page
- Will Vitória SC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.