Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd53e60ce729e0cd1bada5309bcfc6fb15411e1447b7d38d7193e23cd2b1535a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 12,868$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…671abacked Yes | 21c | 12,505$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bf…1ba8backed No | 79c | 12,500$9,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…9717backed Yes | 17c | 1,194$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed Yes | 22c | 1,112$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 3c | 750$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 18c | 556.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 3c | 434.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 78c | 393.8$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes | 15c | 310.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 18c | 279.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 7c | 263$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6564…8846backed Yes | 17c | 229.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 79c | 156.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Yes | 17c | 127.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 21c | 127$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 21c | 122$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Yes | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 20c | 75.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 19c | 74.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…e450backed No | 79c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Yes | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Yes | 20c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13a…6bb5backed No | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…6a7fbacked No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked No | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a1…be8bbacked No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?Yes won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2025-12-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.