Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f27134d0c3c84a9dae195fde19bd8eab5e92b1ceda92e739b98a08224f82654
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 12,481$4,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.03 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 70c | 8,006$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.02 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 6,607$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.21 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 30c | 6,483$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.84 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 33c | 5,500$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.9 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 68c | 5,093$3,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.06 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 67c | 4,225$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.93 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.06 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,803$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.74 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 32c | 1,820$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.78 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 1,688$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.1 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 33c | 1,480$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed No | 33c | 1,375$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 30c | 1,297$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.46 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 69c | 1,202$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.17 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Yes | 69c | 1,016$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 67c | 999.77$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.92 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…e573backed Yes | 69c | 880.8$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 32c | 856.69$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.14 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 746.57$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.37 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed Yes | 68c | 647.06$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed Yes | 68c | 641.77$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 67c | 594.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 33c | 537.22$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.82 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a04…d57dbacked Yes | 67c | 513.04$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 68c | 499.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e9…e4e1backed Yes | 68c | 466.93$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.42 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 32c | 451.51$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.07 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 32c | 443.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.07 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…2943backed Yes | 68c | 400.01$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 66c | 324.25$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 68c | 314.35$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked No | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 68c | 267.1$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf71…4431backed Yes | 68c | 245.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Yes | 68c | 221.69$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 66c | 203.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 174.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 217 | 45.6%99 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977e…f89fbacked Yes | 68c | 171.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 68c | 166.31$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 33c | 160.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 68c | 147.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…73bcbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…8d82backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…479dbacked Yes | 68c | 146.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…c990backed Yes | 69c | 146.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Yes | 68c | 142.65$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 32c | 132.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 68c | 130.71$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…ca47backed Yes | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 69c | 113.53$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3205…d8ccbacked Yes | 67c | 104$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…a1aabacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1b…380ebacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…0c28backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 67c | 99.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…c045backed Yes | 68c | 86.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 30c | 84.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…36f3backed Yes | 68c | 83.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 68c | 82.59$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed No | 33c | 82.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f7…8a43backed Yes | 69c | 79.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 32c | 79.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…ad71backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…f52fbacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…4683backed Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…3eeebacked Yes | 68c | 73.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 69c | 72.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced5…71c2backed Yes | 69c | 72.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc604…448dbacked Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x543c…edabbacked Yes | 68c | 69.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa404…3ee0backed Yes | 68c | 63.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +86.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…3014backed Yes | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.