TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$159,008
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,008 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under36c32,070$11,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,539.83627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under64c12,532$8,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,473.6334342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over45c8,563$3,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,840.6738043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Under55c6,500$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,924.964944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c5,708$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,393.451,95944.1%863 W · 1,096 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under55c5,290$2,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,380.491471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Under61c3,236$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.04580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+49.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over45c2,973$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.8510232.4%33 W · 69 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under56c2,914$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.091546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c2,698$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.261,48740.3%599 W · 888 L-7.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over78c1,774$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.8215250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe965…6559backed Under44c1,745$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…c3ebbacked Over45c1,616$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Under58c1,574$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eba…217ebacked Over71c1,549$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.463043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75e3…5cc4backed Over45c1,510$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c1,350$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.6439746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Over44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under60c1,050$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.251369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed Under32c1,010$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under41c949.88$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.8737544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over29c750$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.54461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd5c…8ae8backed Over45c733.33$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over45c728.89$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3282740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over44c680.97$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.63850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over49c600.55$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.064932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over44c518.18$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over45c508.57$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.928038.8%31 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under54c443.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2318950.3%95 W · 94 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under56c443.65$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.214355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e17…e4c6backed Under56c426.64$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18038748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked Under12c399.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.98450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+140.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over46c369.96$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.182642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under68c366.31$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61e8…355cbacked Over60c358.1$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+81.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c330$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1673455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over45c320$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442536%9 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over45c315.4$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under38c313.45$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.794744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under56c303.84$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4910744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.868354.2%45 W · 38 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Over45c260.64$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.291233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3945…2ef2backed Over45c251.07$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over46c237.31$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over22c227.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.944139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002650%13 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Over45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998720.7%18 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0271…156bbacked Over45c205.71$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over47c205.55$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.832748.1%13 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Under57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Under12c200$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+106.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3891…00b0backed Under56c180.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bb…3322backed Over45c180$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c176$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.3933851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c175.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.29841.8%41 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Under55c173$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under54c172.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8321745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over45c170$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c169$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6737753.8%203 W · 174 L+20.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over51c167.07$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Under17c157.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.67850%4 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1d…5a7cbacked Under55c153.69$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over33c152$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4622356.1%125 W · 98 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over52c143.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.158248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x408e…cacebacked Over46c136.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under63c135.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Under16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1053231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c123.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb967…65edbacked Under56c123.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.13966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0542…7d64backed Over63c121.03$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.241833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under55c121$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.84654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over44c119.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Over44c119.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.81838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+99.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505646.4%26 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edb…6089backed Over45c113.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb914…8303backed Under56c112.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f10…4767backed Over45c111.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over45c111.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0410647.2%50 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed Over74c110$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.851040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8821…3914backed Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.091241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Under11c108.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.873112.9%4 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508450%42 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507027.1%19 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…c7f3backed Under57c108$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b6…032cbacked Over45c106.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.111145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over45c105.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.526253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Over44c104.55$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over48c103.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under63c101.06$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.13764.9%24 W · 13 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.