Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a6882f0b941eb75e446d838a6aaa6213552d7813522e2344b3ac30d5aaafb59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 66c | 46,907$30,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,948.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 38,258$13,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,038.55 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…5095backed Yes | 66c | 30,303$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,303.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 34c | 29,300$9,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,961.95 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 24,678$16,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,407.36 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.98 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 34c | 18,031$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.49 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae6…3cbebacked No | 34c | 17,445$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,940.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 17,059$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,246.98 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 34c | 16,391$5,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,572.84 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 77c | 15,317$11,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,489.45 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 14,406$9,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.18 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 34c | 13,755$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.73 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 34c | 12,673$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.82 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 66c | 9,091$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.91 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 35c | 8,809$3,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,083 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 16c | 6,793$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.91 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.88 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 35c | 5,848$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.69 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…267ebacked No | 36c | 5,304$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 35c | 4,594$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 73c | 4,435$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 14c | 4,142$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.85 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 66c | 4,126$2,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.92 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 70c | 3,967$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.85 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 66c | 3,505$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.7 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 34c | 3,290$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…c9aebacked No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 34c | 2,677$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.7 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed No | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 31c | 2,499$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.69 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 34c | 2,270$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.8 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 35c | 2,162$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.77 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 67c | 2,040$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.17 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.98 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 34c | 1,962$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.99 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,887$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…a673backed Yes | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…cccabacked Yes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947c…79b5backed Yes | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 1,371$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.61 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…ca40backed No | 35c | 1,291$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,211$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.76 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 66c | 1,185$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 34c | 1,053$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.02 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 13c | 1,006$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.82 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 66c | 1,002$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.67 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46da…724ebacked Yes | 66c | 984.85$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 66c | 980.39$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…924abacked No | 4c | 855.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 66c | 810.61$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.61 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…0d35backed Yes | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 67c | 799$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebf…d601backed No | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a26…0498backed Yes | 69c | 730$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes | 66c | 726.14$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.89 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 66c | 726$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.01 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed No | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 34c | 699.55$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.85 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…e478backed Yes | 66c | 692.36$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…7b3bbacked Yes | 66c | 691.76$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 34c | 686.96$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.57 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…b80fbacked Yes | 66c | 682.52$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 66c | 672.16$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.53 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked No | 35c | 664.4$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…8bb2backed Yes | 66c | 650$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 67c | 644.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd67…bb43backed Yes | 66c | 639.39$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…eeedbacked No | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 34c | 599.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…79babacked No | 35c | 590$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 67c | 582.2$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.51 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 66c | 579.01$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…0906backed No | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…3fd2backed No | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb56…7fb5backed No | 35c | 550$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f3…602dbacked Yes | 66c | 550$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Yes | 66c | 545.45$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Yes | 66c | 541.24$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…b569backed Yes | 66c | 530$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3240backed No | 36c | 520$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…1454backed No | 35c | 520$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.