Serie A · resolved market
Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd8b3c0472c9f4afc48461fe7f76970abee22705d3f26d6919a31840b5248d96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a58…61f0backed No | 77c | 21,900$16,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,036.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 20,965$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.27 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fd…30f0backed Yes | 0c | 19,570$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67df…7b3bbacked No | 75c | 16,211$12,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed No | 77c | 13,362$10,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.74 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Yes | 23c | 12,644$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 23c | 7,258$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.34 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 23c | 6,132$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.2 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 23c | 4,447$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.87 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 4,152$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 77c | 3,297$2,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.31 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…95a8backed Yes | 23c | 2,791$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 1c | 1,934$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,863$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.87 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 77c | 1,598$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.59 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 59cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 24c | 1,283$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 22c | 1,197$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.39 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 17c | 1,147$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed No | 78c | 1,138$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.36 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,122$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.06 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 76c | 1,100$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 78c | 900$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa787…a9d1backed No | 77c | 882$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 723.89$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 23c | 714$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 12c | 409.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 399.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 77c | 372.06$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 330.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.01 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Yes | 3c | 326.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 77c | 295.66$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 16c | 250.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed No | 75c | 224$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 7c | 215.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed No | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfd…23fcbacked No | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…a156backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 23c | 158.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 23c | 152.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94cd…8903backed No | 78c | 141.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b4…a52ebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…00e2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…3539backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9014…b6abbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 97.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 24c | 91.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…213abacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes | 23c | 82.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 78c | 80.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d0…9b7dbacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…e966backed Yes | 23c | 65.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 60.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked No | 78c | 52.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…897bbacked Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Yes | 22c | 52.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 23c | 50.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…9cb4backed No | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 77c | 28.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed No | 77c | 26.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked No | 77c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Roma vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?this page
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.