Serie A · resolved market
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ddf4b9e9d5946a4769b3ad47dbfc4d7c36f5d112dae1742b00307d87968c759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $765,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $886,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $765,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 43c | 260,547$112,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,815.39 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,000 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 36c | 80,740$29,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,307.09 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 56c | 65,055$36,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,431.06 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 51,557$22,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,001.16 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 33,265$18,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,917.59 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 55c | 32,797$18,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,038.19 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 56c | 30,000$16,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,649.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 43c | 25,917$11,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,745.7 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 21,969$12,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,368.77 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked No | 57c | 19,300$10,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,980.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 16,793$9,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,573.52 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 58c | 16,736$9,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,706.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 43c | 15,000$6,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,589.28 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 45c | 13,924$6,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,658.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…8591backed Yes | 44c | 11,383$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,374.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 56c | 10,185$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,703.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 8,790$2,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,814.04 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 3c | 8,618$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.48 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 1c | 8,249$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 57c | 8,000$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.93 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8396…e909backed Yes | 46c | 7,999$3,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed No | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 5,205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 56 | 5.4%3 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 57c | 5,103$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.44 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 45c | 4,951$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.11 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 56c | 4,392$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460.77 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 56c | 4,000$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.97 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 46c | 3,804$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.35 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 56c | 3,735$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 32c | 3,415$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.03 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.09 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 57c | 3,187$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.51 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 46c | 2,826$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5791…a476backed Yes | 45c | 2,444$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 56c | 2,329$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…4129backed Yes | 43c | 2,139$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 73c | 2,016$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.53 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef45…1905backed Yes | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 45c | 1,768$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 45c | 1,482$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 32c | 1,376$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.26 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 57c | 1,250$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2923…a6c5backed Yes | 44c | 1,127$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 74c | 1,000$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes | 79c | 940.68$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 931.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…bd26backed Yes | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 41c | 839.17$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.69 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 56c | 803.73$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…6602backed Yes | 79c | 790.77$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 57c | 774.29$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 4c | 762.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 5c | 752.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 57c | 750$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 58c | 678.98$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.36 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 44c | 672.73$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 667.6$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed No | 55c | 654.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 57c | 624.71$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.25 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 56c | 600$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae17…b10dbacked Yes | 44c | 571.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 55c | 560$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.2 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 46c | 558.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed Yes | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 43c | 511.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.63 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8595…1fb5backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Yes | 75c | 465.73$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.43 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 44c | 456.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.91 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…85a2backed Yes | 44c | 454.48$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 57c | 447.07$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.78 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked No | 56c | 444.74$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 56c | 444$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 44c | 426$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.56 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.