Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c33f8fb3631dde27c206e84ad8d28b8b076601b8b57547e2424867bfa6c35c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 13,233$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Yes | 27c | 9,823$2,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 6,755$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 13c | 6,694$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.41 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 75c | 6,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 1c | 5,699$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 27c | 5,637$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 4,711$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.05 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 4,195$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.52 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 1c | 3,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 24c | 3,970$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.99 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c8…c5d9backed Yes | 1c | 2,349$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 74c | 2,018$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.79 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 25c | 1,700$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 77c | 1,527$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.27 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 26c | 1,343$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.28 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 26c | 1,058$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…725cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…833bbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 75c | 893$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.25 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a5…86dcbacked No | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 74c | 782.45$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 27c | 772$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.24 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 25c | 689.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.77 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…6ec3backed Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 73c | 499.99$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 26c | 429.35$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 76c | 422.37$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.37 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3904backed No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 389.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 14c | 360.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…2391backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 24c | 330.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 27c | 304.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3ff1backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 9c | 298.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Yes | 25c | 288$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed No | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 74c | 249.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Yes | 26c | 212.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed No | 75c | 202.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 25c | 153.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 26c | 134.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 74c | 133.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed No | 76c | 132.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked No | 75c | 116$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ff…8cc7backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…86cfbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 24c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Yes | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 24c | 77.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48bc…ac79backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked No | 76c | 67.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed No | 76c | 57.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 24c | 56.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed Yes | 27c | 55.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 74c | 45.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…77bdbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…b622backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 76c | 32.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 29.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked No | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae7…411fbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…357dbacked No | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b0…07bfbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…a671backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?No won
- Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.