TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,710,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,932,965

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,710,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,002 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes59c251,877$148,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,113.32955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No45c173,234$78,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,178.98957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c167,382$55,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,269.234,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes55c156,278$86,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,891.7230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes73c133,805$97,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,855.095058%29 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No44c116,399$51,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,215.529028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Yes56c80,645$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,644.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c78,903$43,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,111.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes55c72,494$40,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,447.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick37cpaid+93.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No44c62,757$27,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,590.916145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No44c59,690$26,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,166.559536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c54,426$23,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,066.541,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No45c50,353$22,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,658.671020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No45c34,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,299.929459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No44c30,018$13,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,308.059450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked No44c30,000$13,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,204.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c25,707$8,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,704.0190843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No6c25,402$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,551.1929545.4%134 W · 161 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No46c25,234$11,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,617.946836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No44c23,504$10,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,395.277139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes56c19,557$10,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,635.144548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c19,453$8,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,620.141,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No44c17,296$7,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,607.731,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No44c17,100$7,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5241637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No45c15,279$6,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,898.2816740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No39c15,227$5,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,902.893,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd836…ea78backed Yes56c15,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,600742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No20c14,113$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.5369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…5901backed Yes73c13,535$9,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c12,805$5,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,606.2725648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No15c11,542$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.264845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No44c11,250$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.999625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No45c10,759$4,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,841.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No44c10,720$4,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.8110438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No38c9,091$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.3925248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9607321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No45c9,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0502748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bd7…bd04backed Yes55c8,957$4,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,030.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8108…d2ffbacked Yes57c8,823$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed No1c8,360$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6005246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No45c8,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed No44c7,700$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.843946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…05e8backed No46c7,000$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,220944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No45c6,676$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,996.6579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes55c6,364$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.641258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes69c6,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8606051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.9513845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed No14c5,598$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.481643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes61c5,538$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.292748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes54c5,296$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,436.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes56c5,000$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcedd…c70fbacked Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2501100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.991241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9930446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes76c4,779$3,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.6340033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No44c4,300$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.978521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Yes71c4,224$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.96955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No44c4,200$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.496431.3%20 W · 44 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-37.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.985742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Yes56c3,968$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa010…7b1abacked Yes55c3,635$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No44c3,580$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.183240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No39c3,562$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.9922335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes56c3,481$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes71c3,368$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.917553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b40…d85ebacked No13c3,297$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.1740%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes55c3,023$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.463345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ae…7ecebacked Yes56c3,021$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.112352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No45c2,789$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.8555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No43c2,725$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.237443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes70c2,530$1,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.2215646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes56c2,409$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.17534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No46c2,359$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.55939%23 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed No49c2,330$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.681030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No5c2,300$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7729038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes56c2,292$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.485141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x44c7…62dabacked Yes54c2,225$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007347.9%35 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x396f…6e1ebacked Yes56c2,158$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.65580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a44…30c4backed Yes57c2,083$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes55c2,035$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.265658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No45c2,000$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.4953246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…c878backed Yes65c1,900$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.07475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945c…a489backed Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes56c1,813$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.377452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes78c1,800$1,411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8860732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…d300backed Yes67c1,800$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed No44c1,739$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7652356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No44c1,635$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.9423452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe566…9cc5backed Yes67c1,629$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes56c1,589$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.294540%18 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes54c1,500$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69038729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6759158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed No46c1,500$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.991723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Yes56c1,464$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+62.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.