La Liga · resolved market
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde6721ccce282d1fa368d6ed91aeabae1ff73f9e6c631088c55a13beecf7231a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 24c | 17,960$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 14,149$10,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 9,668$7,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.01 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 24c | 8,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 25c | 5,209$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.46 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 25c | 5,044$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.07 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,771$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…62dabacked No | 74c | 4,535$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.96 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb40…bbedbacked Yes | 4c | 2,553$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 4c | 2,257$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 1,780$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.24 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 1,763$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.77 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…bee7backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 76c | 1,654$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 1,643$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.21 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 24c | 1,638$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.96 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed No | 77c | 1,628$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.51 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 1,315$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.84 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 1,249$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…a807backed Yes | 13c | 1,214$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 3c | 1,167$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…45b9backed Yes | 13c | 1,129$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Yes | 23c | 999.77$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 30c | 955.03$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.68 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 76c | 929.36$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 76c | 895.68$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 74c | 848.63$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.63 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 76c | 775.03$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 9c | 700$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 72c | 648.67$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.43 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…6eadbacked Yes | 3c | 620.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…bf0abacked Yes | 25c | 570.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 539.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -8.0wins | -0.24per pick | 29cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…7848backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 16c | 508.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…d014backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…1437backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ea…da92backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 24c | 389.04$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.69 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 16c | 375.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 140 | 67.1%94 W · 46 L | +17.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9daa…5fb4backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 19c | 359.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…188ebacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 7c | 353.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 77c | 348.39$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 30c | 328.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 6c | 324.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed No | 78c | 320.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…d142backed Yes | 24c | 310.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa99…c057backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…99f3backed Yes | 8c | 295.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 22c | 267.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…1dc8backed No | 80c | 251.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 24c | 247.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 15c | 246.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed No | 76c | 240$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2116…d3c2backed Yes | 10c | 230$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…6e24backed Yes | 14c | 214.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 28c | 211.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…c701backed Yes | 16c | 194.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 24c | 194.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 74c | 175.79$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…5203backed Yes | 27c | 167.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 24c | 167.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 78c | 143.16$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69a…35f7backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb79…91b5backed Yes | 26c | 137$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 25c | 135.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 25c | 130$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…be57backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 79c | 129.1$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Yes | 29c | 125$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…917cbacked Yes | 20c | 123.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…2841backed Yes | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…93febacked Yes | 13c | 119.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
- Will Villarreal CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.