Serie A · resolved market
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf69a2280e878a17902866e761abb82bc9b5a633c9b9e62fff5dbff4cf427c458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $476,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $476,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 49c | 69,642$34,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,225.14 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 48c | 48,555$23,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,306.63 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 44,842$21,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,995.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 25,327$12,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,549.14 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 19,339$10,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,958.21 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 53c | 18,861$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,864.44 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes | 50c | 17,000$8,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,560 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 54c | 11,371$6,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,120.52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 10,009$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.98 | 527 | 48%253 W · 274 L | -35.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 5,873$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.52 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 47c | 5,593$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.87 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 49c | 5,500$2,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,695 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed No | 50c | 5,090$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 53c | 4,499$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.17 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 76c | 4,211$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 48c | 4,111$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.17 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 48c | 3,651$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.3 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ab…dfc2backed No | 46c | 3,647$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 51c | 3,344$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,644.33 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 52c | 3,154$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.85 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…b4f8backed Yes | 49c | 3,135$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.55 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed No | 51c | 3,118$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…5cd3backed No | 46c | 3,049$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed Yes | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…bd26backed Yes | 48c | 2,913$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 58cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcab2…03a6backed Yes | 54c | 2,905$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…da9cbacked No | 51c | 2,884$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 45c | 2,797$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.23 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 44c | 2,748$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…61bebacked No | 46c | 2,710$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…fef5backed No | 46c | 2,679$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c7…0e6bbacked Yes | 54c | 2,527$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cda…dcf2backed No | 46c | 2,511$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 51c | 2,273$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.43 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 53c | 2,159$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 49c | 2,084$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.2 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…d8c8backed Yes | 54c | 2,066$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8f…0efcbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1449…69e1backed Yes | 54c | 1,940$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 44c | 1,893$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.99 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54aa…9557backed No | 46c | 1,784$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 40c | 1,730$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…cefbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,709$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 32c | 1,644$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…d8f6backed No | 46c | 1,582$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 1,455$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.59 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 52c | 1,421$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 71c | 1,403$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.85 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,300$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,272$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.91 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…5ab9backed No | 46c | 1,264$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7b…a49abacked No | 46c | 1,229$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,201$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.78 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 52c | 1,175$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.03 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…f520backed No | 46c | 1,166$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a4…57e7backed No | 46c | 1,152$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…966dbacked No | 46c | 1,148$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc831…8e2cbacked No | 46c | 1,133$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…dce7backed No | 46c | 1,097$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…7106backed No | 46c | 1,071$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 1,054$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…2d27backed No | 46c | 1,045$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…0be7backed Yes | 54c | 1,037$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 50c | 1,034$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf53d…72a9backed Yes | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.92 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 43c | 975.27$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…af65backed Yes | 54c | 959$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 53c | 950$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9cf0backed No | 46c | 942$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c0…1634backed No | 46c | 914$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…bab8backed No | 46c | 889$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c5…ae6cbacked No | 46c | 879$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…6a4fbacked No | 46c | 860$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…748ebacked No | 46c | 841$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0635…0f4cbacked No | 46c | 823$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 47c | 777$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 176 | 51.7%91 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…4525backed No | 46c | 774$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 48c | 750$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef23backed No | 46c | 750$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…2e7cbacked No | 46c | 736$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 52c | 731.78$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd332…505bbacked No | 46c | 718$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 709.17$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.66 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…b3e2backed Yes | 54c | 701$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.