Serie A · resolved market
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f96b0bf7321b850199ad34a28051407258d057f7f9ac717e604d3a7150126b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,994
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,994 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdec1…28bdbacked Yes | 22c | 6,515$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 19c | 5,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 79c | 4,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 142 | 49.3%70 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 3,957$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.34 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 12c | 2,332$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.83 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 2,263$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.14 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 76c | 1,993$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 1,943$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.13 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 79c | 1,900$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.94 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 19c | 1,887$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.53 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 1,155$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.71 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 1,026$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.23 | 229 | 47.6%109 W · 120 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…47eebacked Yes | 21c | 951.22$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 540.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.05 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 78c | 506.19$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 80c | 494.5$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a1…2254backed No | 77c | 489.94$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…decabacked Yes | 23c | 488$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 395$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 80c | 391.51$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 136 | 39.7%54 W · 82 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 21c | 380$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 22c | 360.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked No | 77c | 353$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed Yes | 22c | 300$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 20c | 290.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 17c | 279.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Yes | 22c | 228.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 13c | 216.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 78c | 186.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 78c | 182$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 179$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked Yes | 21c | 175.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…41a8backed No | 80c | 170.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked No | 78c | 166.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed No | 79c | 165.24$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 13c | 153.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…b589backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 22c | 127.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 120.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 129 | 29.5%38 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 77c | 120$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bb…39f3backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f32…9c3bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 80c | 85.58$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 23.8%15 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa06b…d793backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 17c | 67.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…9f42backed No | 79c | 66.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e83…983dbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 79c | 64.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…2020backed Yes | 18c | 63.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 22c | 58.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe66c…0ed6backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e5…2085backed No | 77c | 36.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 80c | 35.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981e…1b46backed No | 77c | 35.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…eff0backed No | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…565dbacked No | 77c | 20.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…816abacked No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 77c | 13.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-12-28?this page
- Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2025-12-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.