TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,344

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes28c14,704$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,653.682,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c12,854$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.681,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes28c5,357$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.1412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked No73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6508463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No72c3,997$2,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,877.512454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c3,852$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,385.5396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83e9…3e21backed No72c2,833$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes27c2,703$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.3419549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa560…d7cfbacked No72c2,076$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8606245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes29c1,697$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.071145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes27c1,500$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No21c1,348$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.5943058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No73c1,254$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.423253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No20c1,198$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.787444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes29c1,103$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.453622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes75c1,068$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.49650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No32c1,028$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.15369.8%37 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73093252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9107…baebbacked No72c916.67$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8694…b16dbacked No72c794.44$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No33c744.68$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3959240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf5…b4f8backed Yes73c705.7$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.97683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbfc…7684backed No69c700$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes57c700$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f86…2874backed Yes58c673.02$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb734…fb2ebacked No72c665.28$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes29c620.69$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.697830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe490…5a00backed Yes28c599.98$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.993151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes28c599.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.344953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c596.08$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.1245547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…4399backed Yes60c500.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e0…f93cbacked No72c488.89$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7903…f658backed No72c481.94$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes27c480.78$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1612923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c2…b4f4backed No73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No72c407.25$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.513458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes35c341.34$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.342437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes71c333.73$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.785451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ee…e167backed No72c329.17$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2331…684dbacked No73c328.77$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd575…9938backed No72c325$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes70c320$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.620033%66 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c307.4$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.613550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3317…026abacked No72c305.56$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9432…0d9dbacked No72c297.22$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…b8d7backed No72c295.83$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.126428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf8…9bd0backed No72c276.42$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x126a…be60backed No72c272.22$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3c6…4692backed No72c269.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5f…5fe6backed No72c263.89$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8502…259dbacked No72c263.89$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes55c262.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…6bc9backed No72c256.07$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No16c240$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.99445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No16c240$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.89252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes29c237.71$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb48…d0ccbacked No73c232.88$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No73c232.59$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7920841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4562…55dbbacked No72c223.61$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf27f…0329backed No73c223.29$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac2a…7418backed Yes34c211.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.76742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f7…ab3cbacked No73c208.22$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…56b6backed No10c202$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…26e2backed No72c201.39$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes28c199.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9921445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf70c…4d5bbacked No73c197.26$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes56c197.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.733754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No29c190.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5124849.2%122 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb4…8ba4backed No73c189.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes79c175.41$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.62138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1645…f3dbbacked No73c175.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2861…656dbacked No73c172.6$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeea9…329dbacked No73c169.86$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc22c…e8e9backed Yes69c154.52$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed No74c150$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d98…2b1abacked No73c146.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd375…e1ecbacked No73c146.58$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a17…282bbacked No73c145.21$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bd3…3a42backed Yes73c144.8$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…ad8dbacked No73c142.47$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4681…a324backed No73c141.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes29c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.46731.3%21 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x352b…b12bbacked No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x523e…af99backed No72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.936936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Yes78c136.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed8…8de5backed No33c132.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.792326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3e0…167ebacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cd…6a31backed No72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Yes29c122$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.622462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66d1…513ebacked No72c116.32$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes28c114$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0823353.6%125 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb836…fa1cbacked No73c113.7$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f2…a363backed No73c110.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes58c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.25540%22 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x500e…23f7backed Yes70c109.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0867…5005backed No73c105.48$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-63.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.