La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d010742f084127ac2984ef6fb313cd033c78e2f7536a138fff4dd188181d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 14,158$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 60c | 8,544$5,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,417.6 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 40c | 7,186$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 60c | 6,821$4,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.32 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 40c | 6,235$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.97 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 31c | 5,999$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.31 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 17c | 4,444$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,710.51 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 40c | 4,164$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.76 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes | 69c | 3,054$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed No | 57c | 2,700$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.99 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 55c | 2,664$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.64 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 19c | 2,465$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 5c | 2,057$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.88 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…0c03backed Yes | 36c | 1,875$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,527$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.39 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 32c | 1,470$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5204…1ca0backed Yes | 71c | 1,402$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 73c | 1,378$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 60c | 1,246$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 54c | 1,225$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.28 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 1,015$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.79 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 43c | 975.84$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.86 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 948$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.6 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 910.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.03 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 40c | 855$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 59c | 783.25$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…cc75backed No | 31c | 755.81$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.51 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 41c | 740$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 60c | 710$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 683$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.31 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 64c | 675.93$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.17 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 41c | 670.73$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…ca89backed Yes | 45c | 659.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 43c | 628.28$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.77 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 41c | 625$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.1 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 55c | 584$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 60c | 574$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 60c | 511.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.01 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 40c | 509.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 507.8$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 59c | 507.25$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.06 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 487.33$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 54c | 412.61$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 397.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.23 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…2216backed Yes | 77c | 390$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked No | 59c | 387.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Yes | 70c | 386.66$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 382.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.6 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 42c | 380.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf540…cc07backed Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 60c | 358.72$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes | 41c | 341.21$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.9 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 75c | 331.09$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.32 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034a…2640backed Yes | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 45c | 312.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…f998backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 36c | 275$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 44c | 269$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 38c | 263.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.08 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 22c | 248.36$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.5 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 42c | 240.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2212…b427backed Yes | 70c | 239.59$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 42c | 224.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Yes | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Yes | 41c | 214.63$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 43c | 203.69$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 58c | 171.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 169.02$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 218 | 49.1%107 W · 111 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 60c | 160$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 73c | 152.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 42c | 149.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 70c | 146.59$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…fca3backed Yes | 71c | 143.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?this page
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.