La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a1a74b29f319cea5cb5e62914ce53c9b0caa9a61390a8fd1620b4132692f3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed No | 4c | 2,800$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 2,210$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.2 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 2,174$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.61 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked No | 3c | 2,000$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.97 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Yes | 17c | 884.54$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.55 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 20c | 583.01$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.01 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 69c | 387.56$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.36 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 71c | 374.45$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.12 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 70c | 367.13$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.33 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 29c | 367$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.57 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 29c | 299.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 11c | 297.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…1192backed Yes | 22c | 277.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6c…08bfbacked Yes | 39c | 253.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 244.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.68 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 228$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.63 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed No | 75c | 170.11$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 29c | 168.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 28c | 163.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…39c7backed Yes | 38c | 160$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked Yes | 28c | 144.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 60c | 107.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 58c | 101.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533a…6566backed No | 73c | 101.37$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd0…dec4backed Yes | 23c | 99.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 28cpaid | +273.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…dcb4backed No | 73c | 94.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd8…ec8dbacked No | 73c | 84.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c18…5e7cbacked No | 73c | 80.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a8…f8a5backed No | 73c | 79.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a5…d778backed No | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…69d8backed No | 73c | 76.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 72c | 72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked Yes | 28c | 71.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…9496backed Yes | 28c | 70.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 71c | 57.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 22.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6034…1b83backed No | 73c | 18.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 18.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 285 | 58.2%166 W · 119 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…a25cbacked No | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-20?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.