Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03d86734c8f9e0ed1766369835f29725af146597307c26db43bd88611c46715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maccabi Tel Avivof Partizan, Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Partizan | 53c | 6,666$3,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,502.58 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 40c | 2,822$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Partizan | 54c | 2,502$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.19 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 76c | 2,275$1,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.71 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 39c | 2,273$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.38 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 53c | 2,267$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…b6a7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 52c | 2,101$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Partizan | 46c | 2,086$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Partizan | 52c | 1,364$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Partizan | 57c | 1,296$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.74 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 43c | 1,260$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Partizan | 69c | 1,240$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Partizan | 52c | 1,234$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.33 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 31c | 1,200$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Partizan | 53c | 1,037$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.19 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 1,010$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Partizan | 56c | 625.61$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.34 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 599.95$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…2f9cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 499.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Partizan | 58c | 349.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Partizan | 58c | 339.25$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.83 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 47c | 328.21$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Partizan | 46c | 263.37$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 68c | 256.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Partizan | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 43c | 187.07$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed Partizan | 58c | 173.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 62c | 155$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…1885backed Partizan | 32c | 123.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Partizan | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…5424backed Partizan | 62c | 113.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Partizan | 12c | 111$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Partizan | 18c | 105.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Partizan | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…ee4fbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Partizan | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 60c | 97.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 89.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 45c | 89.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 56c | 89.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Partizan | 59c | 82.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…cc71backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 47c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed Partizan | 69c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…e0e1backed Partizan | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Partizan | 55c | 53.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf994…49d5backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529e…27aabacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 47.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…8475backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Partizan | 56c | 46.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…aab1backed Partizan | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Partizan | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 41c | 33.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked Partizan | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Partizan | 51c | 31.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…2dcfbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…f8b1backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 43c | 29.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…b0b7backed Partizan | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…24eebacked Partizan | 59c | 23.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 62c | 21.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Maccabi Tel Aviv | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.