Fifa International · resolved market
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba4bae837f5a1619842ee24a428145310b112330d5312405ca829aac46cc7dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $626,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $719,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $626,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe74a…40eebacked No | 46c | 124,161$57,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,677.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 49c | 75,722$37,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,239.81 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 54c | 50,207$26,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,252.44 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 51c | 36,629$18,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,683.5 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 31,976$17,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,835.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 49c | 20,176$9,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,297.53 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 52c | 19,282$10,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,026.88 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 53c | 19,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.96 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 18,400$9,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,129.52 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,159.96 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 49c | 10,507$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,354.41 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 54c | 9,697$5,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 47c | 6,694$3,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 5,454$2,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.41 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40c…00fbbacked Yes | 5c | 5,412$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +655.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 5,323$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.57 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 50c | 5,187$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.32 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 52c | 4,777$2,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 49c | 4,500$2,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,209.97 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 51c | 4,146$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.29 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 3,844$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.85 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 51c | 3,545$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.23 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 53c | 3,500$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 78c | 3,418$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.01 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 51c | 3,332$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.31 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 3,264$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 49c | 3,082$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.48 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…0bd2backed Yes | 63c | 3,056$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Yes | 59c | 2,930$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 52c | 2,898$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.37 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 47c | 2,700$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.99 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.06 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84de…c1e3backed Yes | 49c | 2,635$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 48c | 2,548$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.53 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 53c | 2,500$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.99 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.91 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0714…873abacked Yes | 51c | 2,420$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 42c | 2,402$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 58c | 2,287$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.75 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Yes | 74c | 2,286$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.76 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 53c | 2,282$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.4 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…f476backed No | 51c | 2,281$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Yes | 50c | 2,069$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 34c | 2,055$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.59 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.96 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…63cbbacked Yes | 54c | 1,956$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 52c | 1,881$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.61 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Yes | 54c | 1,859$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed No | 50c | 1,832$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,613$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 51c | 1,540$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.32 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Yes | 65c | 1,539$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,533$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed No | 52c | 1,531$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 49c | 1,500$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.84 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 67c | 1,399$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.11 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 56c | 1,365$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.43 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 65c | 1,250$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.77 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 55c | 1,215$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.35 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.99 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 48c | 1,188$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 37cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…8000backed Yes | 51c | 1,186$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.58 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,134$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.41 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 47c | 1,105$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 55c | 1,097$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 49c | 1,082$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…51e5backed Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 49c | 1,054$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.59 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 50c | 1,007$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.62 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 52c | 1,001$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked No | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 50c | 991$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Yes | 51c | 958.19$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.19 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 48c | 945.22$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 53c | 945.11$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Yes | 49c | 880.73$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.17 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 52c | 870.75$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed No | 52c | 850$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 47c | 849.33$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.19 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Yes | 60c | 835.63$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 49c | 814.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.64 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 66c | 808.48$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.23 | 184 | 38%70 W · 114 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Yes | 54c | 804.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.43 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 49c | 771.43$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.43 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?this page
- Will Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?No won
- Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.