Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b4c499d29947888f31349bab8f6e78a8e7469db20b4935a1aca4d9c99346ca9

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $190,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $174,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes	21c	34,126$7,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,197.93	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	77c	24,751$19,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,684.37	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes	21c	24,393$5,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,009.37	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-4.7wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	22c	22,403$4,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,920.13	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	77c	10,830$8,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,475.26	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x340f…7a99backed Yes	0c	7,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	78c	6,970$5,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,518.25	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes	24c	6,553$1,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,564.2	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Yes	22c	5,555$1,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.1	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+2.8wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes	1c	5,400$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.29	168	33.9%57 W · 111 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Yes	19c	5,300$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.99	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes	22c	4,123$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.03	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes	12c	3,999$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.88	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Yes	18c	3,126$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.12	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No	79c	3,000$2,364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$636.01	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	78c	2,896$2,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$637.07	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No	78c	2,000$1,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.99	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes	17c	1,813$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b9…7e74backed Yes	6c	1,800$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e9…b8cfbacked Yes	20c	1,640$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes	24c	1,624$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.92	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	224	21%47 W · 177 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked Yes	5c	1,402$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.91	76	34.2%26 W · 50 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes	23c	1,304$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74a7…5980backed Yes	16c	1,252$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	13c	1,242$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.65	89	30.3%27 W · 62 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	+43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc755…d0c4backed Yes	16c	1,098$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes	21c	1,093$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.93	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24d…3ab5backed No	79c	1,066$842 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.77	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	53cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdea…1e0bbacked Yes	9c	1,057$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.25	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes	7c	1,023$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.59	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.18per pick	20cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	166	47.6%79 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Yes	17c	887.54$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-4.4wins	-0.18per pick	52cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No	79c	822.78$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.78	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes	10c	816.11$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	40	22.5%9 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	20c	749.15$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.83	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-6.2wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No	78c	744.51$581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.34	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No	77c	727$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.21	120	47.5%57 W · 63 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes	15c	690$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	91	49.5%45 W · 46 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Yes	22c	679.27$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.44	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes	19c	570.18$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.34	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No	80c	555$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111	318	51.9%165 W · 153 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	7c	531.83$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed Yes	17c	500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes	23c	498.81$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.35	107	34.6%37 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Yes	14c	497.09$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.25per pick	39cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d1…cafdbacked Yes	22c	454.55$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes	4c	452.87$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.01	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb815…3d2dbacked Yes	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	146	20.5%30 W · 116 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes	23c	426.09$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…cc39backed Yes	14c	420$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	73	50.7%37 W · 36 L	+7.6wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No	76c	400$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-9.6wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked No	79c	379.75$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.75	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	67cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	7c	366.71$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	237	38.8%92 W · 145 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes	10c	304.06$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	138	43.5%60 W · 78 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes	13c	262.7$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes	23c	260.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+49.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes	19c	246.91$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.91	147	32%47 W · 100 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes	18c	236.7$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.61	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes	17c	227.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.01	70	34.3%24 W · 46 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Yes	16c	225$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No	80c	225$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	81	63%51 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a7…4569backed Yes	23c	221.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ad…6b4cbacked Yes	23c	217.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…c925backed Yes	17c	185.37$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.61	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes	22c	181.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	257	27.2%70 W · 187 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes	20c	172.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.55	124	41.9%52 W · 72 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No	80c	163.66$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	106	30.2%32 W · 74 L	-10.0wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-12%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Yes	23c	143.48$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes	20c	140.04$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes	22c	140$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No	80c	137.04$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.41	673	54.7%368 W · 305 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a10…7843backed Yes	15c	134.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	133	57.1%76 W · 57 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa04…d609backed Yes	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-63%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed No	79c	127.13$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.13	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed No	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	109	54.1%59 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb1aa…054ebacked Yes	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+52.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83a2…bf79backed Yes	21c	119.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x100b…7641backed Yes	16c	107.27$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes	16c	106.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-6.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	256	39.1%100 W · 156 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6e2…c751backed No	78c	100$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	20	85%17 W · 3 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	72cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e18…696fbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fe5…15d5backed Yes	19c	99.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.91	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	87	34.5%30 W · 57 L	-8.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-32%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5dfb…5240backed Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a23…932abacked Yes	22c	90.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No	77c	90$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	-13.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	77c	90$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?this page
Will Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?No won
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-26?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will South Africa win on 2025-12-26?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event