TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Egypt vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,305
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,441

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,305 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No67c4,517$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.24,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes38c2,100$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79819150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a7…5980backed Yes1c2,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes30c2,015$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.489636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08f1…8f37backed No70c1,483$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bfb…5ce8backed Yes30c1,482$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes33c1,096$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3602934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed No70c859.73$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2592748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No67c859.49$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.636253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Yes23c852.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed Yes33c759.49$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes30c656.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010629.2%31 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Yes28c643.78$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.472133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4b…b34bbacked Yes31c635.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed No71c604$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.365149%25 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No72c601$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.187032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No67c521.91$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.2329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5258…4f34backed Yes38c521.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009149.5%45 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes31c500$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf057…d05ebacked Yes32c394.23$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1263132.3%10 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No70c393.01$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.623,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Yes31c370.97$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1152725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f31…2d48backed Yes31c349.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.561145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes29c348.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes26c340$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.416946.2%78 W · 91 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c324.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4830031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005230.8%16 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009140.7%37 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009244.6%41 W · 51 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc849…204dbacked Yes32c281.25$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes29c227.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.021,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164022.5%9 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No68c199.97$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.279845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes31c196.06$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes33c181.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Yes24c180.95$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.432236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-48.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd050…5883backed Yes29c173.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504219%8 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504841.7%20 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+42.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaf6c…2888backed Yes33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes18c149.58$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9216833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes30c131.16$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012441.9%52 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes29c123.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3620227.2%55 W · 147 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes31c122.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9232031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes29c120.69$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-58.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No68c105.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.794533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes28c105.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd8a…01f5backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…0ebabacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+13.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No67c99.51$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8410335%36 W · 67 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No73c98.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8716841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes26c96.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes38c93.75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.744055%22 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe61a…61afbacked Yes31c90.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa67d…a852backed Yes42c90$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No65c80.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2320322.7%46 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes29c77.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.341225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes33c75.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Yes21c72.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes28c70.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes32c70.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4216250%81 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe21…2f9cbacked No67c69.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes45c65.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4318438%70 W · 114 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No70c61.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d32…fe50backed Yes32c60.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.363141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick36cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…93f8backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked No71c58.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.962025%5 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-56.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No66c57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.382,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Yes29c56.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb751…8d99backed Yes32c53.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bec…6997backed Yes31c52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f2…d036backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1628337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a23…932abacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf3…8c56backed Yes31c45.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1f…b449backed No68c42.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.28556.5%48 W · 37 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes29c38.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.885139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No69c37.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.618452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123928.2%11 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b5c…dba2backed Yes33c35.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88b1…7eb6backed Yes32c34.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No66c31.82$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.823262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-46.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107230.6%22 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.821444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked No69c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.993246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc52…fcc3backed No69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No74c26.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8311552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed No69c22.93$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.197030%21 W · 49 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed No69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.