La Liga · resolved market
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c420efd4dc56f0a698f418d96bad0528aa182ef0546fd353676534250b5925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $683,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $720,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $683,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 657 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 49c | 161,319$78,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,993.85 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 52c | 105,263$55,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,000 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 49,534$25,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,368.79 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 47,712$23,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,489.22 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 51c | 43,624$22,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,271.05 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 51c | 42,155$21,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,396.1 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 48c | 34,284$16,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,827.93 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 26,170$13,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,278.68 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 48c | 20,477$9,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,647.98 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,400 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 51c | 19,608$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 49c | 18,848$9,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,612.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 49c | 16,335$8,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,330.61 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 62c | 14,538$9,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.22 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 48c | 10,422$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,419.41 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Yes | 51c | 9,805$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 37cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 7,742$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.93 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 48c | 7,576$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,939.56 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…f7a7backed Yes | 50c | 6,816$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 6,808$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.06 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba79…e944backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 49c | 5,347$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,745.9 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 44c | 5,317$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.29 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.9 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 51c | 4,700$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 48c | 4,657$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 4,628$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.38 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…430cbacked Yes | 51c | 4,366$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 50c | 4,100$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 51c | 4,045$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee3…9842backed Yes | 51c | 3,960$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 29c | 3,600$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,556 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 50c | 3,471$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 48c | 3,354$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9719backed Yes | 73c | 2,743$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.28 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 63c | 2,369$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.3 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ad…4a01backed Yes | 52c | 2,268$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.55 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…4129backed Yes | 46c | 2,069$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed Yes | 37c | 2,046$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 49c | 2,043$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.17 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 49c | 1,977$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.27 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,960$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.3 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,855$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.74 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f4f4backed Yes | 53c | 1,768$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed No | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.04 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Yes | 51c | 1,555$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.93 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…b19cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,540$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 50c | 1,500$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.93 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 49c | 1,418$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 52c | 1,337$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…0610backed Yes | 51c | 1,326$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcbc…71c1backed No | 49c | 1,280$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 17c | 1,264$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 50c | 1,256$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.05 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 51c | 1,231$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,225$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.73 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 49c | 1,185$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.2 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 43c | 1,182$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.59 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes | 51c | 1,158$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.53 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 52c | 1,150$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 52c | 1,096$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,025$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…6201backed Yes | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…db41backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 50c | 995$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…328abacked Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d71…4c90backed Yes | 51c | 966.67$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 53c | 907.51$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 33c | 903.82$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.69 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 52c | 902.37$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 49c | 857.14$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 50c | 836$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.