La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdadf68526d3b72a7a2bc38d7ace52b92bc3e69cb7f84dddb118f07790bef3ed8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 78c | 39,942$31,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,783.26 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 23,730$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed No | 76c | 5,857$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 78c | 3,856$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.41 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 3,084$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.69 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 3,030$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.48 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked Yes | 24c | 2,400$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 22c | 2,303$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 2,161$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.51 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…419dbacked No | 76c | 1,974$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.02 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed No | 75c | 1,300$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 1,295$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.73 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 75c | 1,223$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 1,092$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed No | 78c | 1,053$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.69 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 26c | 963.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 25c | 768.92$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.23 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 625.14$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed No | 79c | 616.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 20c | 513.33$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 76c | 506$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…e646backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Yes | 25c | 498$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 76c | 481.75$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 19c | 450.16$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 428.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 23c | 427.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 418.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.21 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 18c | 412.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed No | 77c | 400$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 349.99$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…1400backed Yes | 24c | 331.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70be…2c90backed Yes | 22c | 313.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 77c | 300$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 24c | 274.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 11c | 258.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…5a00backed No | 77c | 250$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed Yes | 24c | 237.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 234.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 25c | 224.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 26c | 221.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 77c | 218.66$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 24c | 209.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 209$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…928abacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 77c | 200$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 189.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked No | 78c | 180.29$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 23c | 160.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8528backed Yes | 24c | 144.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Yes | 21c | 139.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 24c | 138.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -43%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x203e…a9b5backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…be9fbacked No | 77c | 130.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…f54fbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…99bbbacked No | 77c | 129.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 78c | 128.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 76c | 127$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…02b2backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd768…b69dbacked No | 78c | 118.33$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 12c | 118.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…5eb4backed Yes | 14c | 110.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…20c5backed Yes | 26c | 106.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…1e60backed Yes | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 92 | 76.1%70 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 75c | 93.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 80.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 79.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c0…db10backed No | 75c | 79.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Yes | 24c | 77.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed No | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3e…82a3backed Yes | 20c | 74.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…ea31backed Yes | 19c | 69.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfec…f7dbbacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Yes | 23c | 62.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…d13bbacked Yes | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.