TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,644
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,644 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No35c4,995$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.123,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed No71c4,536$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2044753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes27c3,700$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7011947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+73.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c3,342$1,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.224,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No74c2,500$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.995754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes37c2,213$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No74c2,024$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.849055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked No29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.8780%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes55c1,819$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.731353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c1,500$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09564046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5638…8c71backed Yes69c1,372$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No47c1,357$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.775160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c1,177$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8276…1204backed No75c1,160$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8682673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No41c1,134$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46721641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes30c1,036$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.37525.3%19 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c931.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.714427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No73c759.83$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.3623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c727.48$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.588521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes26c670.27$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4965125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c659.12$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.751,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No53c593.93$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4321842.7%93 W · 125 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes52c585.17$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.34862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No45c503.85$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.1916838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No74c500.44$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.333452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked No73c500$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3652334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa0…833bbacked Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3702100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+205.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No40c429.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8929946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes24c415.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.86145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes33c396.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.855941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d68…fe74backed Yes69c363.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes27c363$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x471c…9e94backed Yes57c353.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.85650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed No67c340$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.46955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c254.02$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0749057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6955…f54bbacked Yes27c251.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No67c250.22$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.651573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick72cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c249$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.7730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed No70c247.24$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-45.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No73c246.64$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0417252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed No74c241.35$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.561040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No73c238.33$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9810245.1%46 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes26c230.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.776033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes25c222$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.55246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Yes32c204.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.792548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e7…6031backed No26c186.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.39520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7048…13d5backed Yes27c177.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No74c176$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.244348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x860d…6071backed Yes47c170.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.91977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1294…9dbabacked No65c170$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.12138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad2f…f350backed Yes38c168.42$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.42955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+56.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes37c162.16$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.165427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed No63c157.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes38c152.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.065034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes27c137.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4d…6c36backed Yes41c133.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.58425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Yes79c131.46$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.134153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No45c130$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5826641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes27c129.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.637635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.112733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked Yes47c108.37$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.37955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes29c107.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0814333.6%48 W · 95 L+11.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c106.27$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.271,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9120…102cbacked No49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3330956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9914244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd942…7a49backed No13c85.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No74c84.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.559158.2%53 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes58c80.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.019354.8%51 W · 42 L+9.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No50c80.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5fa…4bc1backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0720341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f6…b32cbacked Yes74c69.91$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.25650%3 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6711541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes70c64.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7119461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked No59c60.85$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.817458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.420255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad1b…5da0backed Yes27c59.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No60c54.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7912744.1%56 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes26c54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7828558.2%166 W · 119 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc84…4871backed Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.63757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36f9…334cbacked Yes74c52.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98e2…658bbacked Yes69c50.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398641.9%36 W · 50 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3722638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.517660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe89…d978backed Yes61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes23c47.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.831225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No40c46.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.499533.7%32 W · 63 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes65c44.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.723063.3%19 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe709…bcc6backed Yes26c42.31$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.31944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed No60c40.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x717a…c7c7backed Yes27c40.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.32633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes26c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.67156.3%40 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.26956.5%39 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf693…584dbacked Yes76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.473661.1%22 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc713…c8d0backed No39c33.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.