TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$777,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$801,524

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $777,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed No37c273,151$100,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172,363.599159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes63c75,524$47,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,915.0114337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No37c70,338$25,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,370.624459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c46,565$28,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,950.9171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes62c44,040$27,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,157.0324044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes62c43,162$26,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,761.2662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes63c39,816$25,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,084.0815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Yes63c30,000$18,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,90020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No36c28,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,919.88966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes56c24,935$14,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,068.511,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes63c22,540$14,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,190.2852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No42c20,410$8,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,837.771478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No36c18,888$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,088.253246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes63c16,885$10,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,637.313348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes63c15,345$9,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,740.329747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No37c15,082$5,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,501.654940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes63c15,000$9,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes53c13,171$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No36c12,522$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,954.296553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc473…58a0backed Yes64c11,193$7,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,163.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes60c10,095$6,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,081.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.882540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No37c7,900$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9775947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes63c7,619$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.993542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes63c7,500$4,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,72531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes56c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.995538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes63c6,932$4,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3834856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes71c6,513$4,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,596.9124642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c6,140$3,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.5587344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No23c5,942$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,602.625040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes63c5,813$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,661.9837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes63c5,500$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a35…59febacked No43c5,202$2,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1503420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1505354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes62c4,851$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.731643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No36c4,800$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,071.995156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No44c4,714$2,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.043256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No37c4,254$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,680.0123151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x843c…126cbacked Yes63c4,145$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No24c3,996$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,025.056942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes64c3,123$1,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,989.794746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.964057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No38c2,700$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c2,628$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.9614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Yes63c2,555$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes78c2,500$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.824833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bb1…3272backed Yes62c2,419$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes59c2,344$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3939447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No37c2,279$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.073259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes30c2,140$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.821,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed No39c2,022$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.141546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0401936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2201330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed No37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No38c1,995$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.745040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes63c1,749$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.844151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No37c1,721$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.52933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes75c1,699$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.6820232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9919055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.792653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes64c1,577$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes33c1,502$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No37c1,500$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9453333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes58c1,500$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes64c1,414$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c1,078$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.2814452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes57c1,060$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes32c1,038$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5704751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6307549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6409140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No43c999.97$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.982835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes46c816.26$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.7818046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes63c807.9$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.9820150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes62c806.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.262744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed No55c760.09$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.04875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes63c747.48$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.378942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked No38c724.31$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes64c703.13$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes63c700$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44133148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes36c657.63$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.925330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes61c655$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9526845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes47c648.94$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes57c632.78$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.683240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6292…ffe2backed Yes63c620.81$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ca…534ebacked Yes63c603.17$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No37c602$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.2617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No38c600$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3721675%12 W · 4 L+5.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+78.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No38c599.98$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.991752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes34c597.79$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.745322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No49c564.99$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.151637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed No37c555$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.85616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick45cpaid-54.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c508.6$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.5735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108041.3%33 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f9…86ecbacked No38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101850%9 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb1…c109backed Yes61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.