TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Metz vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,424
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,424 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes21c9,170$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,243.5552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes41c8,954$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,241.9371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09df…491fbacked No79c5,068$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No79c5,064$4,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.563767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No78c4,592$3,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,583.0726346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Yes59c3,482$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c3,346$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.691,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed Yes52c3,115$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,495.38366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No77c2,457$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.1224642.3%104 W · 142 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c2,337$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.111,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No77c2,182$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.286648.5%32 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes22c2,087$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.072133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+47.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2801258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick70cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.963910.3%4 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No78c2,000$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.4862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes37c1,863$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd675…e9d4backed Yes41c1,672$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes22c1,255$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.553138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Yes71c804.92$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes22c800$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62431049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes23c753$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.812540%10 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+34.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes22c689.24$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.613630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Yes21c571.42$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4226550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No44c570.76$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.131968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No45c532.98$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.069535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No78c518.94$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.7714045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes21c500$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39529949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c491.43$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.5287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes32c468.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No72c394.64$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.141457.1%8 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick73cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No78c345.59$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.1326660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No75c305.21$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.912835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No78c300$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23410838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes22c300$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2341353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+41.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb311…2b64backed Yes23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c299.96$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.988046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No73c281.92$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6326040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes25c268$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…a5cebacked Yes23c260.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c250$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19518847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes42c238.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes22c219.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5814247.9%68 W · 74 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes53c208.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2635650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15614452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No41c184.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.915322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-58%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes25c177.48$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.7135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes23c173.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.911631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No19c170.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1518046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes60c167.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+88.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No51c153.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9913246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No43c151.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.653354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No33c149.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…1511backed Yes59c142$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.681471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad3e…2c44backed Yes25c132$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc419…5bb5backed Yes79c127.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.02850%4 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes15c125.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes22c121$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.381844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes23c108.91$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.914520%9 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.269920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No75c99.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.992564%16 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x11cb…b931backed Yes63c98.41$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…a4bebacked No66c96.06$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8826845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes66c95.68$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.25644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb253…6575backed No77c90.93$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.961323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Yes24c84.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.97333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes21c80.2$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.031866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfae3…9192backed Yes79c80$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No65c77.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.474062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c73.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.625366%35 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes24c72.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.322835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked No21c70.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Yes70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed No79c69.62$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes30c67.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.03425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.22650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+102%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb485…f560backed Yes60c63.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…54d3backed Yes23c58.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes24c58.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.339346.2%43 W · 50 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked No27c52.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes23c52.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.17812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1e0…8467backed Yes79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.63425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-68.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8318245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.51241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7520454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed No50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No78c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.834537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes27c49.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.693351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes22c48.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.083033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked No59c47.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.08875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cb…2208backed Yes22c46.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+78.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc98…7667backed Yes72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b8…8712backed Yes58c41.44$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.46580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.