TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb2e2…54d3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
30
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$75.01
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,982Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$849.52
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$62.94
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.64
Kings vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.15
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.69
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$16.39
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$6.46
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.13
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$16.52
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,263.22
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.25
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5)backed North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.18
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Incarnate Word Cardinalsbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$31.87
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+44.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$71.03
Hurricanes vs. Oilersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$120.24
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$97.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+43.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$47.98
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$36.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$56.52
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.09
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+334.8%+$45.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$69.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$7.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$36.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-2.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.