TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$414,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $414,078 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 341 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Team Liquid36c100,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,0002638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed NRG64c99,494$63,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,817.881643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid39c50,116$19,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,527.957236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG61c50,028$30,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,455.8934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Team Liquid0c43,190$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.191216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Team Liquid37c19,648$7,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,304.826365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61b7…ab31backed NRG60c13,715$8,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,485.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed NRG63c11,706$7,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,272.788751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed NRG63c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96013558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG63c7,465$4,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.2678162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed NRG62c6,394$3,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.5126050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed NRG67c6,187$4,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.381338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid43c6,161$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.668458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f38…af70backed NRG65c6,114$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.361163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed NRG64c5,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick59cpaid+34.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid44c4,717$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.2865559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Liquid42c4,620$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.443060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8247…ee42backed NRG65c4,240$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.852352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Liquid34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.9726738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid34c3,975$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.514131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x15bd…8c6ebacked NRG64c3,793$2,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid36c3,361$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21015343.8%67 W · 86 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Team Liquid40c3,247$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.2328548.4%138 W · 147 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed Team Liquid36c3,076$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.3513345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed NRG66c3,030$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0b…1035backed NRG64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc20…3728backed Team Liquid36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Team Liquid35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+50.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Team Liquid35c3,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid41c2,978$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.1733759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Team Liquid46c2,914$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.81625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Team Liquid37c2,688$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.5318457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Team Liquid36c2,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9733348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid35c2,250$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.4741734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Team Liquid36c2,221$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.491957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Liquid32c1,919$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.257241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed Team Liquid36c1,872$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6746346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Team Liquid35c1,792$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.956038.3%23 W · 37 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG54c1,660$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.819248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid24c1,618$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed NRG78c1,504$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.971973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+36.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0128…d18abacked NRG65c1,478$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.088151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a13…4d34backed Team Liquid17c1,422$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.712330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG70c1,400$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.711,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid47c1,395$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed NRG65c1,383$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.2310946.8%51 W · 58 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed Team Liquid36c1,372$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4941838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed NRG64c1,300$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46313642.6%58 W · 78 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc040…78f6backed NRG54c1,273$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.12988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed NRG66c1,219$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Team Liquid36c1,177$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.57520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed NRG63c1,095$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.2826051.9%135 W · 125 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Liquid40c1,086$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.157650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b37…1f70backed NRG62c1,010$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.7911159.5%66 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed NRG64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604637%17 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Team Liquid34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.991010%1 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick42cpaid-82.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Team Liquid34c999.95$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.98728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fd6…96c4backed Team Liquid34c990.83$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3b8…b4d8backed NRG65c969.83$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.441050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid35c954.86$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306f…e156backed Team Liquid36c928.99$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Team Liquid18c906$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4611433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed Team Liquid37c905.41$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3355050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3df…f557backed Team Liquid35c899.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Team Liquid12c899.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.84147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick23cpaid-76.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Liquid45c869.02$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.0478562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a43…44cdbacked Team Liquid35c820$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5d…d375backed Team Liquid40c810.25$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed NRG64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28815553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Team Liquid38c795.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb2…2825backed NRG64c750$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.51070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed NRG67c746.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Team Liquid22c740$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.399042.2%38 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid37c736.73$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27025336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Liquid36c711.12$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7712138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13a7…0caebacked Team Liquid37c706.31$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.43742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Team Liquid36c700$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Team Liquid33c657.3$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21725555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e6…5cb1backed NRG63c649.99$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Team Liquid35c631.96$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed NRG65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed NRG64c603.84$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.385651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffe…5664backed Team Liquid37c595.97$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b54…548dbacked NRG64c582$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae5…45b7backed Team Liquid35c567.23$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Team Liquid21c566$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.724632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked NRG69c564.51$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.26887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Liquid37c557.34$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.215728.1%16 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Team Liquid35c544.51$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.117530.7%23 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Team Liquid21c537$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2610840.7%44 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked NRG66c531.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.752060%12 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed NRG53c516$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7141537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed NRG56c508$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5214252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed NRG64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18028541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4597…a491backed NRG65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed NRG64c499.96$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.6325347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Team Liquid24c487.41$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.271942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d83…5e6abacked Team Liquid37c475.68$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked NRG64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.752751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f8…ec5fbacked NRG65c467.15$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.