Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cbeed4330790ef75bf32033fe29ce98feb37bc052502e78bfcdc5ba9053683b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,151 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG | 57c | 4,358$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.17 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Liquid | 19c | 2,896$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 2,791$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.76 | 63 | 65.1%41 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 2,400$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.19 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 30c | 2,221$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.29 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked NRG | 72c | 2,031$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,895$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.39 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked NRG | 63c | 1,797$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.67 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Team Liquid | 20c | 1,750$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee56…ce0bbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 1,610$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed Team Liquid | 22c | 1,466$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,291$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…bbb3backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,207$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.53 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed NRG | 65c | 1,171$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed NRG | 68c | 1,138$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.18 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 731.03$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.04 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed NRG | 67c | 506$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.12 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed NRG | 65c | 496.05$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.62 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 40c | 474.14$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NRG | 77c | 447.76$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed NRG | 64c | 428.08$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.93 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked NRG | 65c | 415.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…40d7backed Team Liquid | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 40c | 346.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed NRG | 65c | 308.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757f…311dbacked NRG | 54c | 305.19$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked NRG | 67c | 298.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…b8bcbacked NRG | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed NRG | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG | 52c | 280.77$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG | 59c | 280$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NRG | 54c | 272$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Team Liquid | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Team Liquid | 35c | 247$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 233.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 210.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 205.44$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked NRG | 67c | 203.12$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed NRG | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG | 65c | 166$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed NRG | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 32 | 84.4%27 W · 5 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 152.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…e885backed NRG | 68c | 150.66$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid | 44c | 128.18$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…0fd6backed NRG | 65c | 107.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Liquid | 33c | 107.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Liquid | 35c | 101.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked NRG | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa7…2bb4backed NRG | 58c | 99.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Team Liquid | 38c | 99.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2112…7dcbbacked NRG | 67c | 53.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d822backed Team Liquid | 23c | 48.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7d08backed NRG | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Liquid | 27c | 45.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…e5d6backed NRG | 68c | 34.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…e1e2backed Team Liquid | 37c | 30.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked NRG | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…1183backed NRG | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked NRG | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked NRG | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…c605backed NRG | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…6a5bbacked NRG | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)NRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group StageNRG won
- Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 1 WinnerNRG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.