TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
NRGof NRG, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,531

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,531 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a55…c349backed Team Liquid0c40,140$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.141216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Team Liquid58c10,481$6,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,089.193060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NRG41c5,023$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.5119248.4%93 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed NRG41c3,512$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0775939%23 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid53c2,522$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.461,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed NRG44c1,939$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.8933759.6%201 W · 136 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked NRG24c1,558$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.412729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid59c1,250$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.4768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Team Liquid40c1,243$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.76365.1%41 W · 22 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed Team Liquid47c1,234$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.391625%4 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked NRG41c1,145$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7188844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Team Liquid56c1,047$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.271741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed NRG58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.9918457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked NRG57c999.75$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1665559.4%389 W · 266 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked NRG58c940$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked NRG60c833.5$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.58848.9%43 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid60c830.36$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.411,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid39c805.08$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8793148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked NRG49c759.63$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.631764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Team Liquid49c747.35$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.7210956%61 W · 48 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed NRG61c690.97$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3734356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Liquid66c600$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked Team Liquid44c590$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2623148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Liquid36c577.65$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.231,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid41c532$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0214252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked NRG58c521.9$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.23638.9%14 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid58c505.16$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29525336.4%92 W · 161 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG37c487.98$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.9881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0b4…834ebacked NRG33c420.57$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.571776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed NRG39c365.9$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.22642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x757f…311dbacked Team Liquid46c332.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.182040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed NRG31c317.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.8631634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid47c299.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9370251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed NRG34c286.15$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1542840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed Team Liquid42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Team Liquid43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed NRG39c224.2$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.21428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Liquid57c193$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.017241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Team Liquid57c192.82$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11051948.4%251 W · 268 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Team Liquid52c191.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7110661.3%65 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid41c182.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6515342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed NRG39c178.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1828151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ddd…5366backed Team Liquid41c171.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.194949%24 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed NRG59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c3…16ccbacked NRG30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.678343.4%36 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed Team Liquid65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005054%27 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf97e…3947backed NRG57c140$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…a13fbacked NRG48c138.17$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.424732%79 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…e885backed Team Liquid76c130.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed NRG39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.219845.9%45 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked Team Liquid60c126.02$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1512552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed Team Liquid65c106.15$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6918460.9%112 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x199b…354ebacked Team Liquid58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Liquid57c102$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6366438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Team Liquid61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3717537.7%66 W · 109 L-14.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked NRG60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.12887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick67cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NRG53c94.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.934847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…e5d6backed Team Liquid50c91.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.96580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+30.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed Team Liquid35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.752638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Team Liquid46c81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.268751.7%45 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG29c80$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.121,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Team Liquid34c69.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.877635.5%27 W · 49 L-7.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked NRG45c67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.898837.5%33 W · 55 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40dd…e214backed NRG33c63.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.461330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed NRG56c62.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.788451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d43…3f6cbacked Team Liquid65c59.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.179965.7%65 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed NRG52c57.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5663652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed NRG29c51.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6557517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf7e0…b0d9backed NRG28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…b7f2backed NRG55c49.22$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bbd…7d08backed NRG63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.623948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Team Liquid50c44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Team Liquid37c41.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.446949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked NRG39c35.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.921240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed NRG57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.092254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…48d8backed Team Liquid58c34.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed NRG44c29.62$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.512638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1ba…e1e2backed Team Liquid48c27.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed NRG58c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ba…c981backed Team Liquid40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed NRG45c24.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x058b…3216backed NRG52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+53.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Team Liquid63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1f…0829backed Team Liquid58c19.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ef…2387backed Team Liquid58c17.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.423743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.