TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0758…48d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+2.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$25.54
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+72.4%+$20.99
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$23.57
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
First Blood in Game 2?backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Valorant: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Valorant: MIBR vs NRG - Map 3 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Fnatic - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. Chinese Taipeibacked Chinese Taipei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.42
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.